الحرب المندلعة منذ 13 شهرا لم تترك مكانا آمنا لأحد في إسرائيل كما يبدو، إلى درجة أن الابن الًأصغر
التصنيف: أخبار
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انتخابات أمريكا.. كم يستغرق فرز الأصوات بالولايات المتأرجحة؟
بعد مرور أربع سنوات على الانتخابات الرئاسية لعام 2020، والتي استغرق الفرز فيها نحو أسبوع، يتوجه الناخبون إلى صناديق الاقتراع ويتساءلون: كم من الوقت سوف يستغرق الأمر، حتى تتمكن الولايات المتأرجحة من فرز أصواتها في انتخابات 2024؟
في غضون السنوات الـ4 تغيرت العديد من الإجراءات التنظيمية منذ الانتخابات الرئاسية الأخيرة، فقد عاد العديد من الناخبين إلى التصويت الحضوري بعد انتهاء التدابير الاحترازية خلال جائحة كورونا، وأعادت العديد من الولايات كتابة قوانينها للسماح لمسؤولي الانتخابات بالبدء في معالجة بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد قبل يوم الانتخابات، وفق شبكة NBC NEWS.
ومن المتوقع أن تؤدي التغييرات إلى تسريع عملية فرز الأصوات، لكن الأمر قد يستغرق أياماً للحصول على صورة كاملة لنتائج الانتخابات.
وتحتاج الانتخابات التي تشهد تقارباً بين المرشحين وقتاً أطول لمعرفة الفائز، إذ يفرض التصويت الغيابي والبطاقات المؤقتة، أياماً أكثر حتى يتمكن مسؤولو الانتخابات من معالجته وفرزه.
وتحتاج عملية معالجة بطاقات الاقتراع الغيابية المرسلة بالبريد وقتاً أطول من عملية معالجة الأصوات المدلى بها شخصياً، وذلك لأن العاملين في الانتخابات يحتاجون إلى التحقق من هويات الناخبين وإخراج البطاقات من المظاريف.
ويستغرق فرز بطاقات الاقتراع المؤقتة، وقتاً، إذ أنها بطاقات تصدر لأن موظفي الانتخابات، لم يتمكنوا من التأكد فوراً من أهلية الناخب للتصويت عندما أدلى بصوته، ومن ثم يتم فصل هذه الأصوات عن الأصوات المؤهلة، حتى يتمكن المسؤولون من التحقق من صحتها.
وفيما يلي القواعد المتعلقة بكيفية فرز الأصوات في الولايات السبع المتأرجحة، التي من المرجح أن تلعب دوراً رئيسياً في تحديد الفائز بالانتخابات الرئاسية.
أريزونا
بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد: يصوت الناخبون في أريزونا في الغالب عن طريق البريد، لذا فإن تسليم بطاقات الاقتراع في اللحظة الأخيرة، يعني أن عملية الفرز قد تستغرق وقتاً أطول.
يقول المسؤولون في الولاية إن فرز بطاقات الاقتراع قد يستغرق 10 أيام، على الرغم من أنه يمكن البدء في فرز الأصوات المرسلة بالبريد عند استلامها، وفقاً لسكرتير عام أريزونا.
جورجيا
بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد: تبدأ جورجيا في معالجة بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد في 21 أكتوبر، ويمكن تسليمها حتى إغلاق صناديق الاقتراع في يوم الانتخابات.
بطاقات الاقتراع المؤقتة: يكون لدى الناخبين الذين صوتوا دون تقديم هويتهم، ثلاثة أيام لتقديم بطاقات الهوية، أو لتأكيد هوياتهم بعد الإدلاء بأصواتهم المؤقتة، ولكن من المتوقع ظهور النتائج بسرعة.
ميشيجان:
بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد: يمكن للمقاطعات الأكبر في ميشيجان أن تبدأ في معالجة بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد في 28 أكتوبر، ما يمنح مسؤولي الانتخابات فرصة مبكرة للغاية للتحقق من بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد، إذ يجب استلام بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد قبل إغلاق صناديق الاقتراع في يوم الانتخابات.
بطاقات الاقتراع المؤقتة: لدى الموظفين مهلة حتى 12 نوفمبر لمعالجة بطاقات الاقتراع المؤقتة.
نيفادا
بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد: يجب ختم بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد قبل يوم الانتخابات، واستلامها بحلول 9 نوفمبر. ويمكن لمسؤولي الانتخابات البدء في معالجتها بمجرد استلامها.
بطاقات الاقتراع المؤقتة: يحق للناخبين بعد يوم الانتخابات بثلاثة أيام إثبات إقامتهم وهوياتهم إذا لزم الأمر. وإذا لم تتطابق توقيعاتهم مع التوقيعات الموجودة في ملفات بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد، فسوف يكون لديهم حتى الثاني عشر من نوفمبر، “لإصلاح” بطاقات اقتراعهم.
نورث كارولاينا
بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد: يجب استلام بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد بحلول يوم الانتخابات، وتتم فرزها جزئياً طوال شهر أكتوبر.
بطاقات الاقتراع المؤقتة: يحق للناخبين الذين فشلوا في إظهار بطاقة هوية كافية في مراكز الاقتراع تقديم بطاقة الهوية اللازمة إلى مسؤولي الانتخابات حتى 14 نوفمبر.
ويمكن لمسؤولي الانتخابات معالجة بطاقات الاقتراع المؤقتة الأخرى، حتى تبدأ المقاطعات في فرز النتائج في 15 نوفمبر.
بنسلفانيا
بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد: يجب أن يتلقى مسؤولو الانتخابات بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد قبل إغلاق صناديق الاقتراع في يوم الانتخابات.
وتبدأ عملية المعالجة في الساعة 7 صباحاً من يوم الانتخابات، ما يجعل الولاية واحدة من آخر الولايات المتأرجحة، التي تبدأ في التحقق من التوقيعات والمعلومات الشخصية على بطاقات الاقتراع.
بطاقات الاقتراع المؤقتة: يجب على مجالس المقاطعات مراجعة بطاقات الاقتراع المؤقتة والبت فيما إذا كان سيتم احتسابها خلال أسبوع من الانتخابات.
ويسكونسن
بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد: يجب استلام بطاقات الاقتراع بالبريد في يوم الانتخابات على أقصى تقدير.
تبدأ عملية المعالجة في الساعة 7 صباحاً بالتوقيت المحلي في يوم الانتخابات، ما يجعل ولاية ويسكونسن آخر ولاية تبدأ في معالجة بطاقات الاقتراع.
بطاقات الاقتراع المؤقتة: لدى الناخبين حتى الساعة الرابعة عصراً من يوم الجمعة، الذي يلي الانتخابات لتقديم أي وثائق ضرورية لمسؤولي الانتخابات، مثل إثبات الهوية، لضمان احتساب بطاقات الاقتراع الخاصة بهم.
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أيمن الجميل: تقرير “فيتش” برفع التصنيف الائتمانى لمصر إلى مستوى “B” يعزز ثقة المستثمرين والمؤسسات المالية في الاقتصاد الوطنى
قال رجل الأعمال أيمن الجميل، إن تقرير “فيتش” برفع التصنيف الائتمانى لمصر إلى مستوى ” B” يعزز ثقة المؤسسات المالية الدولية في قدرة الاقتصاد الوطنى على مواجهة أعتى الأزمات المالية، وفى مقدمتها الأزمات التى عصفت بالاقتصاد العالمي وتسببت فى موجات متلاحقة من التضخم بعد جائحة كورونا وتداعياتها، وما تلاها من اشتعال صراعات دولية فى أكثر من منطقة من العالم ومن بينها الشرق الأوسط، كما تؤكد قدرة الاقتصاد المصرى على الوفاء بالتزاماته الحالية أو الآجلة واستحقاقه الفوز بثقة المستثمرين والصناديق السيادية الدولية، خاصة وأن الدولة المصرية التى تجرى عملية إصلاح شامل وجذرى للاقتصاد، لم تطلب فى أى وقت تأجيل سداد أو إعادة هيكلة التزاماتها المالية أو تقاعست عن سداد الأقساط المستحقة عليها، رغم لجود عديد من الدول والاقتصادات الناشئة إلى عملية إعادة هيكلة الديون بعد جائحة كورونا، وللمرور بسلام من موجات التضخم العالمية المتلاحقة
وأشار رجل الأعمال أيمن الجميل، إلى أهمية ما أوردته وكالة بلومبرج الأمريكية بخصوص تقرير فيتش برفع التصنيف الائتمانى لمصر من B- إلى B مع نظرة مستقبلية مستقرة، مشيرا إلى أن بلومبرج وصفت خطوة فيتش بأنها أحدث دفعة للاقتصاد المصرى، وأنها المرة الأولى منذ 2019 التى ترفع فيها فيتش التصنيف الائتمانى لمصر الأمر الذى يمثل نقلة واضحة فى الاقتصاد المصرى ، خاصة وأن فيتش تستند فى تقريرها إلى مجموعة من العوامل الموضوعية منها، انخفاض المخاطر الخارجية على الاقتصاد المصرى وتعديل السياسات الاقتصادية لتتواءم مع هدف جذب الاستثمارات والنجاح فى تحقيق تدفقات مالية كبيرة ورؤوس أموال من الخارج مع الزيادة المضطردة فى الاحتياطى النقدى بالبنك المركزى المصرى وعدم تدخل الدولة فى فرض سعر صرف للدولار مع تحقيق المرونة فى سعر الصرف
وأكد رجل الأعمال أيمن الجميل رئيس مجلس إدارة “كايرو3 A” للاستثمارات الزراعية والصناعية، أن تقرير وكالة فيتش برفع التصنيف الائتمانى لمصر، سيكون له آثار إيجابية عديدة، على مستوى تعزيز ثقة المستثمرين فى الداخل والخارج فى الاقتصاد المصرى ، خاصة مع مناخ الاستقرار الذى تشهده البلاد والذى يترافق مع أكبر موجة من الإصلاحات التشريعية لتحسين بيئة العمل والاستثمار ، و تحقيق نهضة كبرى فى مجال النقل والبنية التحتية ومعاونة المستثمرين من خلال الخريطة الاستثمارية المتجددة على خوض شراكات ناجحة وإطلاق المشروعات فى مصر ، مع ضمان سهولة تصدير المنتجات إلى سوق كبير فى القارة الأفريقية وأوربا وآسيا وتجمع بريكس.
وأضاف رجل الأعمال أيمن الجميل أن مراجعات صندوق النقد الدولى وتقارير كبرى المؤسسات الائتمانية الدولية ونظرتها الإيجابية لمستقبل الاقتصاد المصرى يؤكد سلامة وصحة استراتيجية الإصلاح الاقتصادى الشامل بتوجيهات الرئيس عبد الفتاح السيسي، من خلال دعم الاقتصاد الكلى وسد العجز فى الموازنة وزيادة الصادرات وحصيلة الدولة المصرية من النقد الأجنبى و دعم القطاعات الإنتاجية الرئيسية وجذب الاستثمارات الخارجية وتوفير فرص العمل للشباب، وهى سياسات أكدت قدرتنا على تجاوز تأثيرموجات التضخم والغلاء العالمية الناتجة عن تداعيات وباء كورونا والحرب الروسية الأوكرانية والصراع فى غزة.
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Boeing strike will dent last jobs report before election
Boeing workers gather on a picket line near the entrance to a Boeing facility during an ongoing strike on October 24, 2024 in Seattle, Washington.
David Ryder | Getty Images
Boeing‘s more than seven-week machinist strike is set to hit Friday’s U.S. jobs report — the last one that will be released before Nov. 5 presidential election and the Federal Reserve’s meeting next week. The company’s impending job cuts, meanwhile, will take months more to show up.
Some 44,000 U.S. workers were on strike when the Labor Department conducted its survey in mid-October. About 33,000 of them are Boeing machinists, who walked off the job on Sept. 13 after overwhelmingly voting against a union-endorsed labor contract and in favor of their first strike since 2008.
Economists expect the U.S. to have added 100,000 jobs in October. Bank of America this week forecast that payroll tallies will be at least 50,000 lower than they would have otherwise been because of the strikes and affects of both Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said in an Oct. 14 speech that those factors could have a 100,000-job impact on the October report and called the reductions a “significant but temporary loss of jobs.” He said they “may have a small effect on the unemployment rate, but I’m not sure it will be that visible.”
Boeing’s machinist strike has complicated the plane maker’s already difficult position as its new CEO, Kelly Ortberg, tries to steer the giant U.S. manufacturer and exporter out of safety, quality and financial crises. The unionized machinists, mostly in the Seattle area, voted 64% against a new proposal last week, which included 35% wage increases, compared with a 25% wage hike in an earlier tentative agreement.
In an aerial view, a Boeing 737 Max fuselage is seen on a railcar during an ongoing strike by Boeing factory workers in Seattle on Oct. 24, 2024.
David Ryder | Getty Images
The Biden administration has gotten involved, urging the two sides to reach a deal.
“With the continued assistance of Acting Secretary of Labor Julie Su, your Union bargaining committee had a productive face-to-face meeting with the company to address key bargaining issues,” the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers District 751 said late Tuesday.
Su had met with both sides before the last proposal was brought to a vote on Oct. 23.
Boeing’s impact on U.S. employment numbers is set to continue. CEO Ortberg said earlier this month that the company will cut 10% of its global workforce, or 17,000 people, though job-loss warning letters aren’t expected to go out until mid-November.
Ortberg, who took over as CEO in early August, said Boeing needs to become leaner and focus on its core businesses.
“One of the things I’ve heard from a lot of employees is there’s just too much overhead. It slows them down in being able to get their work done,” he said on an Oct. 23 quarterly call. “So we’re going to really focus this workforce reduction in streamlining those overhead activities, consolidating things that can be consolidated.”
Layoffs and their announcements are more complicated to factor into federal employment surveys than strikes because “we don’t have a good sense of when they occur,” noted Bank of America economist Stephen Juneau.
The impact of Boeing’s strike could lead to further cuts in the fragile aerospace supply chain.
Boeing fuselage maker Spirit AeroSystems earlier this week put about 700 Wichita, Kansas, workers on a 21-day furlough. A spokesman for the company, which Boeing is in the process of acquiring, told CNBC last week that Spirit is considering hundreds of additional furloughs or layoffs if the Boeing strike lasts past Nov. 25.
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Trump slams media in Pennsylvania as Harris stumps in Michigan | US Election 2024 News
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has given a profane and conspiracy-laden speech two days before the presidential election, as his Democratic rival Kamala Harris spoke at a historically Black church in the battleground state of Michigan.
Opinion polls show the pair locked in a tight race, with Vice President Harris, 60, bolstered by strong support among women voters while former President Trump, 78, gains ground with Hispanic voters, especially men.
In remarks on Sunday that bore no resemblance to his standard speech in the campaign’s closing stretch, Trump spoke about reporters being shot and suggested he “shouldn’t have left” the White House after his 2020 loss to President Joe Biden.
The former president also resurrected old grievances about being prosecuted after trying to overturn his defeat four years ago.
Trump intensified his verbal attacks against a “grossly incompetent” national leadership and the American media, steering his Pennsylvania rally at one point onto the topic of violence against members of the press.
In a meandering 90-minute rally speech two days before Tuesday’s US presidential election, Trump noted gaps in the glass panes around him.
The former president has survived two attempted assassinations this year, including being grazed in the ear by a gunman’s bullet during a July rally in Butler, Pennsylvania.
Surveying the gaps, Trump said: “To get me, somebody would have to shoot through the fake news and I don’t mind that so much.”
Unrestrained rhetoric
His rhetoric has become increasingly unrestrained in the campaign‘s final weeks.
Arizona’s top prosecutor on Friday opened an investigation after Trump suggested prominent Republican critic and former congresswoman Liz Cheney should face gunfire in combat.
He said Cheney would not be willing to support foreign wars if she had “nine barrels shooting at her”.
Trump campaign spokesperson Steven Cheung issued a statement after the media remarks on Sunday, saying Trump was looking out for the media’s safety.
“The president’s statement about protective glass placement has nothing to do with the media being harmed or anything else. It was about threats against him that were spurred on by dangerous rhetoric from Democrats,” the statement said.
Trump spent a considerable amount of his speech attacking the news media at the rally, at one point gesturing to TV cameras and saying, “ABC, it’s ABC, fake news, CBS, ABC, NBC. These are, these are, in my opinion, in my opinion, these are seriously corrupt people.”
Harris in Michigan
Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris, meanwhile, told a Michigan church congregation on Sunday that God offers America a “divine plan strong enough to heal division”.
The two candidates offered starkly different tones with the campaign almost at an end, as Harris said voters can reject “chaos, fear and hate”.
She concentrated on Michigan, beginning the day with a few hundred parishioners at Detroit’s Greater Emmanuel Institutional Church of God in Christ. It marked the fourth consecutive Sunday that Harris, who is Baptist, has spoken to a Black congregation, reflecting how critical Black voters are across multiple battleground states.
“I see faith in action in remarkable ways,” she said in remarks that quoted the Old Testament prophet Jeremiah. “I see a nation determined to turn the page on hate and division and chart a new way forward. As I travel, I see Americans from so-called red states and so-called blue states who are ready to bend the arc of history toward justice.”
She never mentioned Trump, though she’s certain to return to her more conventional partisan speech in stops later Sunday. But Harris did tell her friendly audience that “there are those who seek to deepen division, sow hate, spread fear and cause chaos.”
The election and “this moment in our nation,” she continued, “has to be about so much more than partisan politics. It must be about the good work we can do together.”
After her Detroit appearance, Harris was due to head to East Lansing, Michigan, a college town in an industrial state that is viewed as a must-win for the Democrat.
Trump was due to speak in Kinston, North Carolina, before ending his day with an evening rally in Macon, Georgia.
Of the seven US states seen as competitive, Georgia and North Carolina are the second-biggest prizes up for grabs on Tuesday, with each holding 16 of the 270 votes a candidate needs to win in the state-by-state Electoral College to secure the presidency. Pennsylvania is first with 19 electors.
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How we got to the end of a presidential campaign unlike any other
WASHINGTON (AP) — It’s the election that no one could have foreseen.
Not so long ago, Donald Trump was marinating in anger at Mar-a-Lago after being impeached twice and voted out of the White House. Even some of his closest allies were looking forward to a future without the charismatic yet erratic billionaire leading the Republican Party, especially after his failed attempt to overturn an election ended in violence and shame. When Trump announced his comeback bid two years ago, the New York Post buried the article on page 26.
At the same time, Kamala Harris was languishing as a low-profile sidekick to President Joe Biden. Once seen as a rising star in the Democratic Party, she struggled with both her profile and her portfolio, disappointing her supporters and delighting her critics. No one was talking about Harris running for the top job — they were wondering if Biden should replace her as his running mate when he sought a second term.
But on Tuesday, improbable as it may have seemed before, Americans will choose either Trump or Harris to serve as the next president. It’s the final chapter in one of the most bewildering, unpredictable and consequential sagas in political history. For once, the word “unprecedented” has not been overused.
“If someone had told you ahead of time what was going to happen in this election, and you tried to sell it as a book, no one would believe it,” said Neil Newhouse, a Republican pollster with more than four decades of experience. “It’s energized the country and it’s polarized the country. And all we can hope is that we come out of it better in the end.”
History was and will be made. The United States has never elected a president who has been convicted of a crime. Trump survived not one but two assassination attempts. Biden dropped out in the middle of an election year and Harris could become the first female president. Fundamental tenets about democracy in the most powerful nation on earth will be tested like no time since the Civil War.
And that’s not to mention the backdrop of simultaneous conflicts in Europe and the Middle East, hacking by foreign governments, an increasingly normalized blizzard of misinformation and the intimate involvement of the world’s richest man, Elon Musk.
For now, the only thing the country can agree on is that no one knows how the story will end.
Trump rebounded from disgrace to the Republican nomination
Republicans could have been finished with Trump after Jan. 6, 2021.
That’s the day he fired up his supporters with false claims of voter fraud, directed them to march on the U.S. Capitol while Congress was ceremonially certifying Biden’s election victory, and then stood by as rioting threatened lawmakers and his own vice president.
But not enough Republicans joined with Democrats to convict Trump in an impeachment trial, clearing a path for him to run for office again.
Trump started planning a comeback even as some leaders in his party hoped he would be eclipsed by Ron DeSantis, the Florida governor, or Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor who served as Trump’s ambassador to the United Nations.
In the year after Trump announced that he would run against Biden, he faced criminal charges four times. Two of the indictments were connected to his attempts to overturn his election defeat. Another involved his refusal to return classified documents to the federal government after leaving office. Trump has pleaded not guilty to all the charges, and none of those cases have been resolved.
What to know about the 2024 Election
However, a fourth indictment in New York led to Trump becoming the first president in U.S. history to be criminally convicted. A jury found him guilty on May 30 of falsifying business records over hush money payments to a porn star who claimed they had an affair.
None of it slowed Trump, who practically ignored his opponents during the primary as he barreled toward the Republican presidential nomination. A mugshot from one of his arrests was adopted by his followers as a symbol of resisting a corrupt system.
Trump’s candidacy capitalized on anger over inflation and frustration about migrants crossing the southern border. He also hammered Biden as too old for the job even though he’s only four years younger than the president.
But Democrats also thought Biden, 81, would be better off considering retirement than a second term. So when Biden struggled through a presidential debate on June 27 — losing his train of thought, appearing confused, stammering through answers — he faced escalating pressure within his party to drop out of the race.
As Biden faced a political crisis, Trump went to an outdoor rally in Butler, Pennsylvania on July 13. A young man evaded police, climbed to the top of a nearby building and fired several shots with a semiautomatic rifle.
Trump grabbed at his ear and dropped to the stage. While Secret Service agents crowded around him, he lurched to his feet with a streak of blood across his face, thrust his fist in the air and shouted “fight, fight, fight!” An American flag billowed overhead.
It was an instantly iconic moment. Trump’s path to the White House seemed clearer than ever — perhaps even inevitable.
Harris gets an unexpected opportunity at redemption
The vice president was getting ready to do a puzzle with her nieces on the morning of July 21 when Biden called. He had decided to end his reelection bid and endorse Harris as his replacement.
She spent the rest of the day making dozens of phone calls to line up support, and she had enough to secure the nomination within two days.
It was a startling reversal of fortune. Harris had flamed out when running for president four years earlier, dropping out before the first Democratic primary contest. Biden resuscitated her political career by choosing her as his running mate, and she became the first woman, Black person and person of South Asian descent to serve as vice president.
But Harris’ struggles did not end there. She fumbled questions about immigration, oversaw widespread turnover in her office and faded into the background rather than use her historic status as a platform.
All of that started to change on June 24, 2022, when the U.S. Supreme Court overturned the nationwide right to abortion enshrined by Roe v. Wade. Harris became the White House’s top advocate on an issue that reshaped American politics.
She also proved to be more nimble than before. Shortly after returning from a weeklong trip to Africa, her team orchestrated a spur-of-the-moment venture to Nashville so Harris could show support for two Tennessee lawmakers who had been expelled for protesting for gun control.
Meanwhile, Harris was networking with local politicians, business leaders and cultural figures to gain ideas and build connections. When Biden dropped out, she was better positioned than many realized to seize the moment.
The day after she became the candidate, Harris jetted to Wilmington, Delaware to visit campaign headquarters. Staff members had spent the morning printing “Kamala” and “Harris for President” signs to tape up next to obsolete “Biden-Harris” posters.
There were 106 days until the end of the election.
The battle between Trump and Harris will reshape the country
While speaking to campaign staff in Wilmington, Harris used a line that has become a mantra, chanted by supporters at rallies across the country. “We are not going back,” she declared.
It’s a fitting counterpoint to Trump’s slogan, “make America great again,” which he has wielded since launching his first campaign more than eight years ago.
The two candidates have almost nothing in common, something that was on display on Sept. 10, when Harris and Trump met for the first time for their only televised debate.
Harris promised to restore abortion rights and use tax breaks to support small businesses and families. She said she would “be a president for all Americans.”
Trump took credit for nominating the justices that helped overturn Roe, pledged to protect the U.S. economy with tariffs and made false claims about migrants eating people’s pets. He called Harris “the worst vice president in the history of our country.”
Harris was widely viewed as gaining the upper hand. Trump insisted he won but refused a second debate. The race remained remarkably close.
Pundits and pollsters have spent the final weeks straining to identify any shift in the candidates’ chances. Microscopic changes in public opinion could swing the outcome of the election. It might take days to count enough votes to determine who wins.
The outcome, whenever it becomes clear, could be just another surprise in a campaign that’s been full of them.
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US presidential election updates: Poll shows Harris ahead in early voting as Trump jokes about reporters being shot | US elections 2024
With less than 48 hours to go in the US election and more than 77.6m votes already cast, new polling shows Kamala Harris leading among early voters in the country’s battleground states.
The Democratic candidate has an 8% lead among those who have already voted, while her opponent, Donald Trump, is ahead among those who say they are very likely to vote but have not yet done so. The poll, from the New York Times and Siena College, also found Harris was slightly ahead in three swing states, with Trump up in one and the other three too close to call.
With only hours of campaigning left, Harris was speaking in Michigan, while her Republican opponent used a rally in Pennsylvania to complain about gaps in the bulletproof shields surrounding him and suggested he would have no concerns about reporters being shot at if there were another assassination attempt against him.
“To get me, somebody would have to shoot through the fake news and I don’t mind that so much,” he said, adding the press were “seriously corrupt people”. Trump’s communications director claimed in a statement the comments were supposedly an effort to look out for the welfare of the news media.
Here’s what else happened on Sunday:
Donald Trump election news and updates
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The Trump campaign claimed the NYT polling and Saturday’s Selzer poll of Iowa for the Des Moines Register were designed to suppress Trump voter turnout by presenting a biased, bleak picture of Trump’s re-election prospects. “No President has done more for FARMERS, and the Great State of Iowa, than Donald J. Trump,” Trump said in a post on his Truth Social network.
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In Pennsylvania, Trump told supporters that he should have stayed in the White House, despite his losing the 2020 election. “We had the safest border in the history of our country the day that I left,” Trump said.
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At a rally in Macon, Georgia, Trump kept up anti-migrant rhetoric and again suggested he would give a role on health policy to Robert F Kennedy Jr. Trump said he told Kennedy: “You work on women’s health, you work on health, you work on what we eat. You work on pesticides. You work on everything.”
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After RFK Jr proposed removing fluoride from drinking water on the first day of a new Trump administration, the former president appeared to approve the idea. “Well, I haven’t talked to him about it yet, but it sounds OK to me,” Trump told NBC News. “You know, it’s possible.”
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Trump also spoke in Kinston, North Carolina, where he criticised Mitch McConnell, the Republican Senate minority leader. “Hopefully we get rid of Mitch McConnell pretty soon,” Trump said. Republican voters in Kinston told the Guardian they are ready to fight a “stolen election”.
Kamala Harris election news and updates
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In her final rally in Michigan, Harris pledged to do everything in her power to “end the war in Gaza”, as she attempted to appeal to the state’s large Arab American and Muslim American population. Michigan is home to about 240,000 registered Muslim voters, a majority of whom voted for Biden in 2020. But Arab Americans and Muslim Americans in the state have expressed dissatisfaction over the administrations stance on Israel’s war on Gaza.
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Harris dodged a question on whether she voted for a controversial tough-on-crime measure that would make it easier for prosecutors to imprison repeat shoplifters and drug users to jail or prison, after submitting her ballot in California. Proposition 36 would roll back provisions of Proposition 47, which downgraded low-level thefts and drug possession to misdemeanours.
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At Michigan’s Greater Emmanuel Institutional church of God in Christ in Detroit, Harris told the congregation that God’s plan was to “heal us and bring us together as nation” but that they “must act” to realise that plan.
How US politics got so insulting (Hint: it didn’t start with Trump) – video Elsewhere on the campaign trail
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A US government communications regulator has claimed that Harris’s appearance on Saturday Night Live violates “equal time” rules that govern political programming. Brendan Carr, a commissioner with the federal communications commission (FCC), said “the purpose of the rule is to avoid exactly this type of biased and partisan conduct – a licensed broadcaster using the public airwaves to exert its influence for one candidate on the eve of an election.”
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Iowa can continue challenging the validity of hundreds of ballots from potential noncitizens, a federal judge has ruled. The state has targeted illegal voting but critics said the effort threatened the voting rights of people who have only recently become US citizens.
Read more about the 2024 US election:
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Live Results: Oklahoma Legislative Runoffs, Tulsa Mayoral Election
By 270toWin Staff
August 27, 2024, 1:50 PM ET
Oklahoma requires a majority winner in most primary elections. On Tuesday, there will be runoffs in 10 legislative districts where no candidate crossed that threshold in the June 18 primary. They are all for the Republican nomination.
Separately, there is a mayoral election in Tulsa.
Tulsa Mayor
Tulsa is the nation’s 48th largest city, with a population of about 412,000. This is for the city itself, not the associated metro area. Republican G.T. Bynum did not seek a third term in office.
There are seven candidates on the nonpartisan ballot. The three most prominent are Tulsa County Commissioner Karen Keith (D), state Rep. Monroe Nichols (D), and businessman Brent VanNorman (R). Those three participated in a debate earlier in August, after receiving at least 10% support in a qualifying poll.
That poll showed Keith leading with 46% support – well ahead of her two main competitors – and just short of the 50% needed to avoid a runoff.
If a runoff is required, it will take place November 5.
Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern Time.
State Senate Primary Runoffs
Republicans dominate the Oklahoma State Senate, holding 40 of 48 seats. Members serve four-year staggered terms; the odd numbered districts are up in 2024.
Nominees will be determined Tuesday for these four GOP-held seats. The only incumbent forced into a runoff is Blake Stephens in District 3.
State House Primary Runoffs
Republicans also hold over 80% of the seats in the Oklahoma House of Representatives. Here the partisan advantage is 81-20 over Democrats. Members serve two-year terms.
Nominees will be determined Tuesday for these six GOP-held seats. Incumbents are involved in Districts 32 and 98.
Upcoming Elections and Events
- September 3
- September 10
- Presidential Debate (ABC)
- Delaware Primary
- New Hampshire Primary
- Rhode Island Primary
- September 17
- Pennsylvania State House Districts 195 and 201 Special Election
- September 18
- New Jersey U.S. House District 10 Special Election
- October 1
- Vice-Presidential Debate (CBS)
- November 5
- 2024 Presidential Election
- 2024 General Election
- September 3
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كان يجب ألا أغادر البيت الأبيض
قال الرئيس الأميركي السابق دونالد ترمب، أمس الأحد، إنه يأسف على مغادرته البيت الأبيض بعد خسارته التي لم يعترف بها قط في الانتخابات الرئاسية لعام 2020.
وأضاف ترمب، المرشح الرئاسي عن الحزب الجمهوري، في تجمع انتخابي في ليتيتس، بولاية بنسلفانيا: «كان لدينا أكثر الحدود أماناً في تاريخ بلدنا عندما غادرتُ (البيت الأبيض)… كان يجب ألا أغادر».
وأشار ترمب إلى أنه يوجد، الآن، «المئات من المحامين» في كل مركز اقتراع للانتخابات الرئاسية المقبلة.
وتحدّث ترمب عن إنجازات رئاسته قائلاً: «كان لدينا أفضل اقتصاد على الإطلاق، كان لدينا ذلك الجدار، كان لدينا كل شيء».
واشتكى ترمب من وجود فجوات في الزجاج الواقي من الرصاص الذي كان يتحدث من خلفه، قائلاً: «لا أمانع، على الإطلاق» إذا أطلق مهاجمٌ النار على وسائل الإعلام «الكاذبة» للوصول إليه.
وكان بمقدور بعض الصحافيين رؤية ترمب بشكل مباشر من خلال إحدى الفجوات في أثناء تجمعه الانتخابي الذي عقده في ليتيتس بولاية بنسلفانيا.
وقال ترمب، وهو يستعرض الفجوات الموجودة في الألواح الزجاجية: «للوصول إليَّ، يجب على شخصٍ ما أن يطلق النار على إعلام الأخبار الكاذبة، لا أمانع مطلقاً».
وأصدر ستيفن تشيونغ، المتحدث باسم حملة ترمب، بياناً قال فيه إن الرئيس السابق حريص على سلامة وسائل الإعلام.
وجاء في البيان: «تصريح الرئيس بشأن وضع الزجاج الواقي لا علاقة له بتعرض وسائل الإعلام للأذى أو أي شيء آخر، بل يتعلق بالتهديدات الموجهة إليهـ والتي أجّجتها الخطابات الخطيرة من جانب الديمقراطيين».
وقال مصدر مطّلع على حملة ترمب الداخلية إن تعليق الرئيس الأميركي السابق بشأن وسائل الإعلام لم يكن مقرراً سلفاً. وأشار إلى أن ترمب كثيراً ما يدلي بتصريحات مرتجلة. وأضاف المصدر أن ترمب طلب شخصياً البيان الذي أصدره المتحدث باسم حملته.
وتوقّع ترمب، في وقت سابق أمس من إعلان الفائز بالرئاسة، مساء بعد غد دون تأخير. وقال: «قد أخسر الانتخابات، وكل شيء وارد، لكن أعتقد أنني متقدم بنسبة كبيرة».
وخسر ترمب الانتخابات الرئاسية عام 2020 أمام منافسه الديمقراطي جو بايدن.
وإلى الآن، يرفض الاعتراف بالهزيمة. وقدَّم الرئيس السابق عشرات الدعاوى القضائية بعد فوز بايدن في عام 2020، والتي خسرها أمام المحاكم. وفي 6 يناير (كانون الثاني) 2021، أدى إصراره على أنه الفائز وأن «نصره» سُرق منه إلى اقتحام مؤيديه مبنى الكابيتول في واشنطن، مقر الكونغرس الأميركي.
وفي نهاية المطاف، غاب ترمب عن مراسم تنصيب بايدن، في وقت لاحق من ذلك الشهر، مما كسر تقليداً طويل الأمد. وغادر البيت الأبيض قبل بضع ساعات من مراسم التنصيب.
