التصنيف: أخبار

  • روبرت كينيدي جونيور يناشد أنصاره التصويت لترمب بدلاً منه

    روبرت كينيدي جونيور يناشد أنصاره التصويت لترمب بدلاً منه

    طالب المرشح الرئاسي الأميركي السابق روبرت كينيدي جونيور، اليوم (الاثنين)، أنصاره عشية الانتخابات بعدم التصويت له.

    ولم يتمكن كينيدي، الذي يدعم الآن المرشح الجمهوري دونالد ترمب ضد المرشحة الديمقراطية كامالا هاريس، من حذف اسمه من بطاقة الاقتراع في العديد من الولايات محل التنافس، على الرغم من انسحابه من السباق الرئاسي.

    وقال كينيدي في منشور له على منصة التواصل الاجتماعي «إكس»: «بصرف النظر عن الولاية التي تقيم فيها، لا تمنحني صوتك».

    وأضاف: «فلنُعِد الرئيس ترمب إلى البيت الأبيض، وأعود أنا إلى واشنطن، حتى نتمكن من جعل أميركا صحية مرة أخرى، وإنهاء الحروب الأبدية، وحماية حرياتنا المدنية».

    وأيّد الرئيس الجمهوري السابق ترمب، احتمال تعيين كينيدي، المعروف بآرائه المناهضة للتطعيمات، بدور في فريقه لسياسة الرعاية الصحية إذا فاز.

    وفي نهاية أكتوبر (تشرين الأول) الماضي، رفضت المحكمة العليا طلب كينيدي حذف اسمه من ورقة الاقتراع في ولايتي ويسكونسن وميشيغان اللتين من المحتمل أن تكونا من بين الولايات الحاسمة.

    وينحدر الرجل من سلالة عائلة كينيدي الديمقراطية التقليدية، لكنه أعلن عن تحوله لمعسكر المرشح الجمهوري ترمب قبل عدة أسابيع.

  • Legal U.S. Prediction Markets for President are Live

    Legal U.S. Prediction Markets for President are Live

    For the first time in about a century, it is legal for U.S. residents to trade election contracts in a regulated prediction market. 

    This shift came after a legal battle between Kalshi, a prediction market for event contracts and its regulator, the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). 

    On Friday morning, Kalshi launched a market allowing users to predict the winner of next month’s presidential election. 

    At this early point, market participants are evenly split between Harris and Trump. Click the image for current pricing.

    There are also markets for control of each branch of congress, although these are currently only available in multiples of 5,000 contracts.

    At publication time, Republicans had a 73% chance of winning the Senate, while Democrats were 63% likely to win the House.

    U.S. Senate Control >>

    U.S. House Control >>

    A Kalshi blog post indicated other markets are coming soon.

    Other political prediction markets, including the two below, have been active, but with restrictions.

    Polymarket has seen over $1 billion worth of volume in its Harris vs. Trump market. However, this exchange is not available to U.S. residents. 

    PredictIt operates on a 2014 CFTC waiver, but participants are limited to $850 in any contract. 

  • كان يُفترض أن تكون جلسة حوارية.. ترامب يرقص لمدة 30 دقيقة في حدث انتخابي

    كان يُفترض أن تكون جلسة حوارية.. ترامب يرقص لمدة 30 دقيقة في حدث انتخابي

    أخذ حدث كان من المفترض أن يكون جلسة حوارية للرئيس الأمريكي السابق، دونالد ترامب، في بنسلفانيا منحًا مختلفًا، بعد أن أنهى ترامب الحدث بتشغيل قائمة أغانيه والرقص أمام الحشود.

    وكان من المفترض أن يكون الحدث الانتخابي في أوكس ببنسلفانيا جلسة حوارية تدريها حاكمة داكوتا الجنوبية، كريستي نوم، لكنها تعطلت بسبب اثنين من الحضور احتاجا لرعاية طبية للأسف بعد بضعة أسئلة.

    في تلك اللحظة، قرر الرئيس السابق اتخاذ اتجاه مختلف وكشف عن قائمة موسيقية.

    بعدها رقص وتمايل الرئيس الأمريكي السابق مدة 30…

  • رئيس ملتقى الحوار: سنتقدم بمداخلات شفوية خلال مناقشة تقرير مصر بمجلس حقوق الإنسان

    رئيس ملتقى الحوار: سنتقدم بمداخلات شفوية خلال مناقشة تقرير مصر بمجلس حقوق الإنسان


    قال سعيد عبد الحافظ، رئيس مجلس أمناء مؤسسة ملتقى الحوار للتنمية وحقوق الإنسان، إن آلية الاستعراض الدورى الشامل تعد أحد أهم آليات الأمم المتحدة لمتابعة تنفيذ الحكومات المختلفة للاتفاقيات التي صادقت عليها.


    وأضاف سعيد عبد الحافظ في تصريحات لـ”اليوم السابع”، أن الاستعراض الدورى الشامل لمصر أمام المجلس الدولى لحقوق الإنسان سيكون في الأسبوع الأخير من شهر يناير القادم 2025 للمرة الرابعة، مشيرا الى أن هذه الآلية تتيح للدولة التي يتم مراجعتها تقديم ما يفيد كافة أنشطتها ذات الصلة بالتزامتها بتعاهدتها الدولية كما أن الدولة تسمح لها الفرصة للاستماع الى رؤية حكومات الدول المختلفة داخل المجلس الدولى لحقوق الإنسان عما تقوم به من أنشطة في مجال حقوق الإنسان.


    وأشار سعيد عبد الحافظ، رئيس مجلس أمناء مؤسسة ملتقى الحوار للتنمية وحقوق الإنسان، الى أن مؤسسة ملتقى الحوار تستعد للمشاركة بوفد يضم فريق عمل من رئيس المؤسسة ووحدة العلاقات الدولية وكبير الباحثين، للمشاركة في الفاعلية خلال يومى 28 يناير و31 يناير، موضحا أن الملتقى سيتقدم بمداخلات شفوية مكتوبة على هامش مناقشة تقرير مصر أمام المجلس الدولى لحقوق الانسان.

     

  • 2024 US presidential polls tracker: Trump v Harris latest national averages | US elections 2024

    On 5 November 2024, millions of Americans will head to the polls to choose between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump for president of the United States. The two candidates have offered starkly different visions for the future of the nation. As the election enters the final stretch, the Guardian US is averaging national and state polls to see how the two candidates are faring.

    Latest polls

    Polling average over a moving 10-day period

    Guardian graphic. Source: Analysis of polls gathered by 538.

    See all polling

    Latest analysis: Nationally, Harris has a one-point advantage, 48% to 47%, over her Republican opponent, virtually identical to last week. Such an advantage is well with the margin of errors of most polls. The battleground states, too, remain in a dead heat.

    But in a fractured political landscape that has featured threats of retribution from Trump, accusations of fascism and racism from Harris, and warnings that democracy itself is on the ballot, the bigger picture – that uniformity, over a prolonged period – has seasoned observers scratching their heads.

    Robert Tait, 2 November

    Read more

    Polling over time

    Polling average over a moving 10-day period. Each circle represents an individual poll result and is sized by 538’s pollster rating

    Notes on data

    To calculate our polling averages, Guardian US took a combination of head-to-head and multi-candidate polls and calculated a rolling 10-day average for each candidate. Our tracker uses polls gathered by 538 and filters out lower-quality pollsters for national polls. Our state polling averages use a lower quality threshold for inclusion due to the small numbers of state polls. If there were no polls over the the 10-day period, we leave the average blank. On 11 Oct Guardian US began rounding averages to the nearest whole number to better reflect the lack of certainty in the polling figures.

    Polling averages capture how the race stands at a particular moment in time and are likely to change as the election gets closer. Averages from states with small numbers of polls are also more susceptible to errors and biases. Our averages are an estimate of the support that the candidates have in key swing states and on the national stage. The election is decided by the electoral college, so these averages should not be taken as a likelihood of winning the election in November.

    Read more about the US election:

  • Harris and Trump head to key battleground states for final campaign sprint

    Harris and Trump head to key battleground states for final campaign sprint

    A presidential campaign that has careened through a felony trial, an incumbent president being pushed off the ticket and multiple assassination attempts comes down to a final sprint across a handful of states on Election Day eve.

    A presidential campaign that has careened through a felony trial, an incumbent president being pushed off the ticket and multiple assassination attempts comes down to a final sprint across a handful of states on Election Day eve.


  • How does voting work in the US election? | US Election 2024 News

    How does voting work in the US election? | US Election 2024 News

    As Election Day in the United States looms, many Americans have already cast their votes in early voting in person or by mail. Others will vote in person at registered polling booths on Tuesday.

    Here is how voting in the US works:

    Who conducts elections in the US?

    The US does not have a centralised election system.

    While the Federal Election Commission enforces federal campaign finance laws, including monitoring donations and public funding for presidential campaigns, the elections themselves are conducted by local authorities within each state.

    These authorities adhere to local, state and federal laws as well as being guided by the US Constitution. Hence, election rules vary among states. According to Ballotpedia in 2020, more than 10,000 local entities administered elections in the US.

    What time do polls open and close?

    Timing depends on the state and municipality. Some polls in Vermont, for example, open as early as 5am Eastern time (ET) (10:00 GMT) in a country with six time zones.

    In many states, polls open between 7am and 8am ET (12:00 to 13:00 GMT), including Georgia, Pennsylvania, Iowa and Florida.

    In Hawaii, polls don’t open until noon ET (17:00 GMT), which is 7am local time.

    Polling stations close between 7pm ET and 1am ET (00:00 to 06:00 GMT).

    How do voters cast their votes?

    In the US, no one is required by law to cast a vote. The US does not have a system of online voting.

    Voters are assigned polling locations within each district. These locations are generally public buildings, such as convention centres, libraries, schools and community centres.

    In these locations, voters enter private polling booths to fill out their ballots.

    Hand-marked ballots

    Most voters in the US vote with hand-marked paper ballots. Typically, voters fill in an oval or square next to their preferred candidate’s name.

    According to the Philadelphia-based nonpartisan organisation Verified Voting, nearly 70 percent of registered voters live in jurisdictions that use hand-marked paper ballots.

    Ballot-marking devices

    Some jurisdictions provide ballot marking devices (BMDs) that allow voters to cast their votes on a digital device. The device then produces a paper record of the vote. About 25 percent of registered voters live in jurisdictions that use BMDs for all voters.

    Direct recording electronic voting

    A small number of voters cast their votes using a direct recording electronic (DRE) voting system, with which voters press a button or touchscreen to cast their votes, which then go directly into the computer system. In 2020, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Tennessee and Texas used DRE machines, according to the Council of State Governments website.

    Some DRE systems are connected to a Voter Verified Paper Audit Trail printer, which produces a paper record of each vote that the voters can confirm before their vote is recorded in the computer.

    Five percent of registered voters live in jurisdictions that use DREs for all voters.

    How many people have already voted in the US?

    All US states allow voters to cast their ballots before Election Day. Mail-in ballots are the most common method of early voting. All except three states also allow in-person voting before Election Day.

    In Alabama, early voting started on September 11 as the state distributed mail-in ballots.

    As of Sunday, 77,317,453 people in the US had already cast their votes, according to a tracker on AP News. It is estimated that more than 230 million people are eligible to vote in the US. But only about 160 million of them are registered voters, and not all of them will actually vote.

    What ID is required to cast a vote in the US?

    It depends on the state.

    • Thirty-five states require voters to show some form of valid ID. For 25 of these states, this has to be a photo ID. Commonly accepted forms of ID include a driver’s licence or passport.
    • Fifteen states do not require voters to show any ID at polling stations. For example, Nevada does not require voters to bring ID. Instead, voters are asked to sign their name at the polling station, and the signature is compared with the signature and ID they provided when they registered to vote.

    Some states that do not require an ID still require voters to show their ID if it is their first time voting or if they did not provide valid ID at the time of registration.

    How does the vote count work?

    In the US, there is no federal system of counting votes, and the vote count is left up to the states.

    Hand-marked paper ballots and ballots marked by BMDs are typically counted using optical scanners and then tabulated digitally to obtain a final tally. Different states have different methods of re-counting and verifying the final count.

    States have until December 11 to certify their election results.

    What happens next?

    The president is not elected directly by the popular vote but instead by the Electoral College.

    Under this system, each state has the same number of electors in the Electoral College as its number of seats in the US House of Representatives and Senate. The US has a total of 538 electors, who are appointed by the parties and are almost always party officials or supporters. To win, a candidate needs 270 Electoral College votes.

    These electors will meet on December 17 this year to cast the vote for president and vice president.

    All states except two operate a winner-takes-all system in choosing their electors, meaning all their Electoral College votes go to whichever candidate wins the most votes.

    The only exceptions are Maine and Nebraska, whose Electoral College votes could be split between parties. Their distribution is based on the popular vote within the state and at congressional district levels.

    There have been cases in previous elections in which electors have gone against the state’s vote, casting their vote for another candidate. They are called “faithless electors”.

    In the highly unlikely but not impossible event of a tie – 269 electoral votes each – the US House of Representatives would decide the next president in what is known as a “contingent election”. Each state’s delegation in the lower chamber of Congress would cast one vote. A candidate must receive a majority of those votes to win.

    The US Senate would then choose the vice president with each senator casting one vote and a simple majority (51 votes) required to win.

    This means it is theoretically possible that Trump could be voted in as president alongside Democratic vice presidential nominee Tim Walz or Harris could be voted in alongside Republican vice presidential nominee JD Vance.

  • Stock market news for Nov. 4, 2024

    Stock market news for Nov. 4, 2024

    Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. 

    NYSE

    Stocks stumbled on Monday as investors geared up for the U.S. presidential election and a potential Federal Reserve rate cut later this week.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average slumped 257.59 points, or 0.61%, to close at 41,794.60. The S&P 500 dipped 0.28% to settle at 5,712.69, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.33% to 18,179.98.

    Trading was choppy throughout the day. The Dow at one point fell more than 400 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq shuffled between gains and losses.

    Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

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    The Dow was down more than 400 points at its lows on Monday.

    Tuesday’s election results could play a pivotal role in where stocks finish off the year. The latest poll from NBC News shows a “deadlocked race” between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.

    Lauren Goodwin, economist and chief market strategist at New York Life Investments, said investors appear to be trying to price in the relatively small changes in the perception of who is likely to win the election.

    “This election is too close to call. Neither I nor anyone else has any real edge on what’s likely to happen. So that makes the market’s moves kind of binary,” Goodwin said.

    Any market aftershocks may depend on which party takes control of Congress. Major legislative changes would be difficult to pass if control of the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate is divided. A Republican or Democratic sweep, however, would likely be coupled with a White House victory for the same party, and could mean ambitious spending plans or a tax overhaul.

    A small rally for Nvidia helped stabilize the market for most of the day, but the stock closed well off its highs for the session. Shares finished up about 0.5% after S&P Dow Jones Indices announced late Friday that the chipmaker would replace rival Intel in the 30-stock Dow. The change, which takes effect at the end of the week, comes as Nvidia continues to rip higher while Intel languishes in the artificial intelligence race.

    Nvidia is up 174% year to date, while Intel has lost more than half its value in 2024.

    Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

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    NVDA vs INTC year to date

    Elsewhere, utility stocks weighed on the market after federal regulators rejected a Talen Energy request to increase nuclear power at a plant in Pennsylvania to provide more electricity for an Amazon data center. Stocks tied to fossil fuels and solar power both rose, however, and oil climbed 2%.

    Financials and health-care stocks were also weak areas of the market, as Goldman Sachs and UnitedHealth Group fell 1.5% and 1.7%, respectively, dragging down the Dow.

    Along with the election, Wall Street is also bracing for the latest rate decision from the Federal Reserve on Thursday. Traders are pricing in a 98% likelihood of a quarter-point rate cut at the conclusion of the central bank’s policy meeting, according to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool. That would follow a half-percentage-point reduction by the central bank in September.

    The moves in stocks Monday came as safe-haven U.S. Treasurys rallied, suggesting that some investors may be reducing risk ahead of Election Day. The benchmark 10-year Treasury was trading at a yield of about 4.3% on Monday, down from roughly 4.36% on Friday. Yields on bonds move in the opposite direction from their price.

    — CNBC’s Sarah Min contributed reporting

  • 2024 General Election: Poll Closing Times

    2024 General Election: Poll Closing Times

    Do not rely on this information to determine when to vote. Your polling place may have different hours.

    Standard Time returns Sunday, November 3 at 2:00 AM local time. 

    While there are some local exceptions, the maps on this page largely reflect the latest in-person poll closing times for the November 5, 2024 general election.

    The first map converts all times to Eastern Standard Time. This is useful as a chronological guide to when results will start becoming available through the evening. The second map displays closings in local time.

    In most states that span two time zones, polls close at the same local time. In those cases, the Eastern Time Zone map will show two times. For statewide races, the later time is the earliest that media outlets will call or characterize the race. Of course, it could take much longer. 

    In Nebraska and Tennessee, polls close simultaneously. In these cases, it is the local time map that will show two times.

    The Eastern Time Zone map is also available on our Poll Closing Times URL. Toward the bottom of that page is a table that shows the number of Senate, Governor, and House races at each closing time, as well as the number of electoral votes. Below that is a breakdown of congressional districts in seven states where not all close at the same time.

    Eastern Standard Time 

    Local Time

     

     

  • محذرة من انتهاك قوانين مساعداتها العسكرية.. أمريكا تمهل إسرائيل لتحسين الوضع الإنساني في غزة

    محذرة من انتهاك قوانين مساعداتها العسكرية.. أمريكا تمهل إسرائيل لتحسين الوضع الإنساني في غزة

    (CNN)– أرسلت إدارة الرئيس الأمريكي جو بايدن رسالة إلى الحكومة الإسرائيلية تطالبها فيها بالتحرك لتحسين الوضع الإنساني في غزة في غضون الثلاثين يومًا المقبلة أو المخاطرة بانتهاك القوانين الأمريكية التي تحكم المساعدات العسكرية الأجنبية.

    الرسالة الصادرة، الأحد، التي كتبها وزير الخارجية الأمريكي أنتوني بلينكن ووزير الدفاع لويد أوستن، موجهة إلى وزير الدفاع الإسرائيلي يوآف غالانت ووزير الشؤون الاستراتيجية رون ديرمر، تمثل خطوة جديدة مهمة من جانب الولايات المتحدة لمحاولة إجبار إسرائيل…