الوسم: Harris

US election: It’s voting day – What polls say; what Harris, Trump are up to | US Election 2024 News

On the eve of Election Day in the United States, presidential candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris blitzed through battleground states while trying to drive home key promises to supporters and voters still on the fence.

Vice President Harris zoned in on cities across Pennsylvania while former President Trump made stops in North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan.

The Democratic candidate was joined by pop culture figures including Lady Gaga and Oprah Winfrey, while Trump called to stage his sons and former Fox News host Megyn Kelly, with whom he once had a contentious relationship.

What are the latest updates from the polls?

The race continues to remain tight according to the latest polls, with key swing states presenting narrow leads for both candidates.

According to FiveThirtyEight’s daily tracker, Harris has a 1.2-point lead over Trump nationally, a margin that has remained fairly static in recent days, though it has shrunk compared with a month ago.

In swing states, Harris has a one-point advantage in Michigan and Wisconsin, according to FiveThirtyEight.

Meanwhile, Trump’s lead in Georgia and North Carolina has shrivelled to under one point, while he is ahead by 2.2 points in Arizona.

In Pennsylvania and Nevada, less than half a point separates the two: Harris has sneaked ahead in the former, though only marginally, after trailing Trump narrowly for the past two weeks; while the Republican candidate is barely ahead in Nevada.

Yet, the gap between the two candidates remains within the margin of error of polls in all seven swing states.

Pennsylvania has 19 Electoral College votes, the most among the battleground states, while Nevada has the fewest – six.

Still, Al Jazeera correspondent John Holman said that Nevada could prove to be crucial because of how close the race is. Key election issues resonate strongly here, with Nevada facing one of the highest unemployment rates and costs of living in the US.

More than 82 million Americans have already voted this year, according to a tally by the Election Lab at the University of Florida. The figure represents more than half of the total votes cast in the 2020 presidential election.

What was Kamala Harris up to on Monday?

Harris spent the final day campaigning in Pennsylvania.

The Democratic candidate started off with an event in Scranton, the hometown of President Joe Biden. She continued touting a message of unity while stating that the country is ready to move on from the Trump era.

Between rallies, Harris stopped by the Old San Juan Cafe, a Puerto Rican restaurant in Reading, Pennsylvania, trying to woo a community that has a large electoral presence in the state and that has come into focus after a comedian made racist comments about the US territory at a Trump event recently.

In the afternoon, Harris made her way to the steel city of Pittsburgh where she pledged to sign into law a national reproductive rights bill if passed by Congress.

Harris capped off the day with a big rally in front of the Philadelphia Museum of Art, which featured music stars Lady Gaga and Ricky Martin, as well as influential media personality Oprah Winfrey.

Harris speaks during a campaign rally at Carrie Blast Furnaces in Pittsburgh [Gene J Puskar/AP Photo}

What was Donald Trump up to on Monday?

Donald Trump continued his campaign with a whirlwind tour through North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan.

In his first stop at Raleigh, North Carolina, the Republican candidate claimed a decisive advantage in the presidential race, which he said was “ours to lose”.

Trump went on to attack Harris on crime and immigration, arguing that “you’ll have open borders the very first day” if she is elected.

The stop marked Trump’s third consecutive day in the state while Al Jazeera’s Phil Lavelle reported an unusually low turnout in Raleigh, describing the venue as “only half full”, with empty seats visible around the edges.

Trump wraps up a campaign rally at JS Dorton Arena in Raleigh, North Caroline [Evan Vucci/AP]

Later, Trump went to Reading, Pennsylvania, where he again suggested that he would carry out mass deportations by invoking an antiquated law, and to get Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) fighters to battle migrants.

Trump said he told UFC CEO Dana White – a backer of the former president – to set up a league. “At the end, I want the migrant to go against the champion, and I think the migrant might actually win, that’s how nasty some of these guys are,” Trump said. “But I don’t know, I doubt that,” he added, trailing off.

He also reiterated unfounded election fraud claims.

Trump also said Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein, who could siphon votes from Democrats in some swing states, particularly those outraged by the war in Gaza, “may be my favourite politician”.

He ended his day in Grand Rapids, Michigan with a final appeal to voters.

Trump, Donald Trump Jr and Michael Boulos listen as Eric Trump speaks at a campaign rally in Reading, Pennsylvania [Chris Szagola/AP Photo]

What’s next for the Harris and Trump campaigns?

Hailing from California, Harris has voted absentee by mail. Her home state, which carries 54 Electoral College votes, is anticipated to vote Democratic this year, continuing a trend that has lasted for the past 36 years.

According to the NPR radio network, Harris will host a watch party at her alma mater, Howard University, in Washington, DC. The District of Columbia, with its three Electoral votes, is expected to support the Democratic candidate, consistent with its historical backing in every presidential election.

Meanwhile, Trump’s campaign announced plans last week to host an election watch party at the Palm Beach Convention Center instead of his Mar-a-Lago estate in Palm Beach.

Despite previously indicating he would vote early, Trump has decided to cast his ballot in Florida on Election Day. Throughout this election cycle, he has encouraged Americans to vote early, even while expressing doubts about the integrity of the electoral process.

Florida, with its 30 Electoral votes, was for many years a swing state, won by former President Barack Obama twice and by Trump in 2016 and 2020. This year, however, Trump is favoured to secure a comfortable victory in the state.

نوفمبر 5, 2024
Trump calls Harris a ‘disaster’ as he concludes final day of campaigning | US Election 2024 News

Former United States President Donald Trump has delivered a final pitch to the American people, making four stops in three different states to denounce his opponent, Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, as a “disaster”.

“You know she’s been exposed,” Trump said at his final campaign event in Grand Rapids, Michigan, a rally that lasted so long it slipped into the early hours of Election Day.

“She’s a radical lunatic who destroyed San Francisco,” he said of the city where Harris spent the formative years of her career. “But we don’t have to settle for weakness and incompetence and decline.”

Ever since he announced in November 2022 that he would make a second re-election bid, his campaign has focused on immigration, the economy and a desire for retribution against his perceived political adversaries.

Trump has long maintained that his 2020 election defeat was the result of a “stolen” election, a false claim.

And in his final rally of the election, he applied similar language to his former Democratic adversary, President Joe Biden, who dropped out of the presidential race in July due to concerns over his age.

“They stole the election from a president,” Trump said of the circumstances of Biden’s withdrawal. “They use the word ‘coup’. I think it’s worse than a coup in a sense because in a coup there’s a little back and forth.”

Trump stumps heavily on economy

Polls show Democrats like Biden, 81, and Harris, 60, as being vulnerable on issues such as the economy and immigration.

For example, a survey in late October from The New York Times and Siena College found that more voters trusted Trump than Harris to address the economy, at a rate of 52 percent to 45.

Trump has often invoked the economy in his appeal to voters. It was no different on Monday night, when he opened his rally in Grand Rapids with a familiar question: “Are you better off now than you were four years ago?”

He proceeded to muse at length about “groceries” being an old term — before promising to bring food prices down.

“They say my groceries are so much more [expensive],” Trump said of voters. “The term is just like an old term. And it’s a beautiful [term], but they say about my groceries were so expensive. They’ll be cheaper. Your paycheques will be higher. Your streets will be safer and clear.”

Campaign fatigue

During the rally, the 78-year-old Trump also acknowledged the toll the nonstop campaign schedule has taken on him.

“This is the last one we will have to do,” he said of the Grand Rapids rally. “Doing four of these in one day is a little difficult, but not really. Because the love at every one of them has been incredible.”

The Grand Rapids appearance came at the end of a busy day of campaigning. Earlier on Monday, Trump gave speeches in Raleigh, North Carolina; Reading, Pennsylvania; and Pittsburgh, also in Pennsylvania.

But making his final appeal in Grand Rapids has become a Trump team tradition. Grand Rapids was the site of his final event in the 2016 and 2020 election cycles.

The question of Trump’s fatigue and fitness on the campaign trail has been an issue the Harris campaign has sought to weaponise.

Harris has positioned herself as a “new generation” of leader, compared with the older Trump, and her campaign recently released footage of Trump on social media appearing to nod off at a campaign event.

“Being president of the United States is probably one of the hardest jobs in the world,” Harris told reporters earlier this month. “And we really do need to ask: If he’s exhausted on the campaign trail, is he fit to do the job?”

Both candidates have sought to paint the other as incapable of weathering the stresses of the White House.

Navigating controversy

In the waning days of his campaign, Trump has also had to navigate controversy over his rhetoric and that of his allies.

For instance, he faced outcry after suggesting that longtime critic, former Congresswoman Liz Cheney, ought to know what it was like to have guns trained on her since her family is known for its hawkish approach to foreign policy.

On Sunday, he also said he would not “mind so much” if someone shot the media to get at him. And at a rally at Madison Square Garden a week earlier, his campaign ignited a firestorm when one of the speakers described the US island territory of Puerto Rico as “garbage”.

Trump has since sought to redirect any criticism to President Biden, who appeared to call the Republican’s supporters “garbage” in response to the Puerto Rico comment.

“I came in a sanitation uniform last week, and that worked out pretty good,” Trump told the crowd in Grand Rapids. “Because Joe Biden in one of his crazy moments said that we were all garbage.”

The crowd booed Biden in response.

Trump also returned to a talking point that earned him backlash during the June presidential debate: that migrants were stealing “Black jobs”, a phrase many critics viewed as racist.

The former president nevertheless doubled down on the assertion in his Grand Rapids rally, reverting to hyped-up rhetoric about the threat of migration.

“One hundred percent of the jobs that were created went to migrants, not to people. And I’ll tell you what. Your Black population is being devastated by these people. They’re taking all the Black population jobs away,” he said.

“You’re going to see some bad things happen. They’re taking their jobs. The Hispanic population is going to be next.”

‘We’ve been waiting four years for this’

Polls show Trump continues to be neck and neck with Harris in the final hours before Americans cast their ballots.

But in his final campaign appearances of the 2024 election cycle, Trump sought to create a false narrative that his popularity far exceeded Harris’s — and that there was no way he could lose.

“When we win the election, look, the ball’s in our hands. All we have to do is get out the vote tomorrow. You get out the vote. They can’t do anything about it. We win,” he said.

He also described his presidential bid — and his near-death experience in Butler, Pennsylvania, in July — as providential experiences.

“Just a few months ago, in a beautiful field in Pennsylvania, an assassin tried to stop our great movement. The greatest movement in history,” Trump told the Grand Rapids audience. “That was not a pleasant day. But many people say that God saved me in order to save America.”

Earlier, in Pittsburgh, Trump appeared before a large crowd and offered a closing message to voters whose support might still be undecided in the key swing state.

“We’ve been waiting four years for this,” said Trump. “We’re going to win the commonwealth of Pennsylvania, and it’s going to be over.”

While on stage, he announced he had received the endorsement of Joe Rogan, the hugely influential podcaster who interviewed Trump and his running mate JD Vance.

نوفمبر 5, 2024
Harris and Trump tie in first election result in Dixville Notch

In a presidential election that couldn’t be closer, it seemed fitting that the first votes cast on Election Day were evenly split. The tiny New Hampshire town Dixville Notch has a decades-long tradition for being the first in the nation to complete in-person voting.

In a presidential election that couldn’t be closer, it seemed fitting that the first votes cast on Election Day were evenly split. The tiny New Hampshire town Dixville Notch has a decades-long tradition for being the first in the nation to complete in-person voting.

نوفمبر 5, 2024
Polls open for 2024 US Election Day as Kamala Harris, Donald Trump face off | US Election 2024 News

Washington, DC – Election Day is finally here.

Polls have opened for the 2024 United States election, a national vote that will decide not only the next president of the country but also the makeup of the House of Representatives and the Senate.

Tuesday caps a mad-dash stretch of campaigning that saw Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and her Republican challenger Donald Trump crisscrossing the country in hopes of shoring up voters.

For weeks, polls have shown a remarkably tight race, with no candidate having the edge going into Election Day.

Whatever the outcome of the vote, the result will define US politics and policy for the next four years. It will also be historic as voters will either elect the first female president in Harris or the first convicted felon in Trump.

In the final sprint of the race, both candidates have laid out vastly different visions for the country’s future. They have also staked out divergent positions on key issues like the economy, immigration, women’s rights and democracy.

Harris has pledged to “turn the page” on what she calls Trump’s divisive rhetoric. She has also positioned herself as a “new generation” leader who will boost the middle class, protect women’s rights and maintain the integrity of US institutions at home and abroad.

Nevertheless, she has faced regular protests over her support for Israel’s war in Gaza and Lebanon.

Trump, meanwhile, has promised a return to a US “golden age”. To do that, he has sketched a plan to lift economic regulations, project US strength abroad and crack down on migrants – a line of attack that regularly dips into racist tropes.

But while the candidates’ platforms have starkly contrasted in both substance and tone, they overlap on one lofty theme: that the outcome of this year’s vote is pivotal.

Trump has dubbed the 2024 race “the most important” one the country has ever seen, while Harris says it is the “most consequential” of voters’ lifetimes.

Both candidates spent the final 24 hours ahead of Election Day busily campaigning in key states.

“With your vote tomorrow, we can fix every single problem our country faces and lead America – indeed, the world – to new heights of glory,” said Trump as he delivered his closing pitch at the final rally of his campaign in the early hours of the morning in Grand Rapids, in the swing state of Michigan.

Harris said “the momentum is on our side” as she signed off in Philadelphia.

“We must finish strong,” the Democrat candidate declared. “Make no mistake, we will win.”

Record early voting

Election Day is the culmination of weeks of early voting in some locations. Several states began early voting – whether by mail or in person – as far back as September.

Nearly 81 million voters already cast their ballot before Election Day, according to the University of Florida’s Election Lab.

That is more than half of the 158.4 million (PDF) total votes cast in the 2020 presidential election – and a sign of record turnout this year for early voting in some parts of the country.

Election Day will ultimately reveal not just which candidate comes out on top, but the full extent of the changing demographics of the US electorate.

The first voting site technically opened right after Monday midnight Eastern time (05:00 GMT, Tuesday) in the tiny New Hampshire town of Dixville Notch. The next slate opened at 5am ET (10:00 GMT) in Vermont.

Other polling sites opened as morning broke across the six time zones that cover the 50 US states.

Once the polls close in the evening, the results may take hours or days to be tabulated. States cannot begin reporting their vote counts until polls close.

Results will start to trickle in by about 6pm ET (23:00 GMT) when the first polls close in states like Indiana and Kentucky.

The last polls will close in the states farthest west, Alaska and Hawaii, around Tuesday midnight ET (05:00 GMT, Wednesday).

After that, the timing of the results will come down to individual states, as the US does not have a centralised election system. Each state is responsible for tallying its ballots. The tighter the margins, the longer that process may take.

All eyes will be on seven key states that are likely to decide the outcome: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada and North Carolina.

In the US, the presidential election is decided not by the popular vote but by a weighted system called the Electoral College.

Under the system, each state is worth a certain number of Electoral College votes, equal to the number of senators and representatives in Congress each state has.

For example, the swing state of North Carolina has 14 representatives in Congress based on its population size. Two senators represent every state, bringing the total number of Electoral College votes for North Carolina to 16.

The outcome of the presidential race in a given state determines which candidate receives that state’s Electoral College votes.

All but two states have a winner-takes-all system: if a candidate wins the state, even by a small margin, they get all its Electoral College votes.

There are 538 Electoral College votes in total, spread across the US. Whoever passes the threshold of 270 wins the race.

Since certain states consistently lean Republican or Democrat, Harris is likely to win 226 Electoral College votes easily, and Trump is expected to carry 219 without issue. Beyond that, Harris has 20 paths to victory and Trump 21.

Al Jazeera will rely on The Associated Press news agency to determine who has won each state and, eventually, the overall election. The AP does not issue projections. It declares the result of a race only once a winner emerges and no other outcome is possible.

History-making race

This year’s vote will conclude an election season that repeatedly saw historic upheavals.

Donald Trump, 78, has become the central figure in the Republican Party and has led a movement that has sown doubt in the US election process.

Trump first entered the White House in 2016 after a surprise victory over Democrat Hillary Clinton. But he fell short in his re-election bid in 2020, when Joe Biden bested him at the ballot box.

The Republican leader, however, never conceded defeat and instead claimed that widespread voter fraud cost him the race, an unsubstantiated assertion.

Critics say since his 2020 defeat, Trump has never really stopped campaigning, laying the groundwork for his present-day bid. He officially announced he would seek re-election in 2022 at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida.

But his campaign has, at times, been overshadowed by historic court cases. Trump is the first president, past or present, to face criminal charges.

Four separate indictments have been issued against him: one for withholding classified documents, one for falsifying business records and two for efforts to overturn the 2020 election results.

In the business records case in New York, Trump was found guilty on 34 felony counts. But rather than dampen his re-election prospects, his legal troubles have largely energised his base, according to polls.

Trump has pleaded not guilty to all the charges against him and has called the indictments evidence of a coordinated “witch-hunt” designed to derail his presidential bid.

But he was not the only candidate facing historic hurdles as he raced for the White House.

His Democratic rival Harris was not even a candidate until about three months ago. Initially, in April 2023, President Biden announced plans to run for re-election.

He cruised through the Democratic primary season, running largely unopposed in the state-level contests. But concerns about the 81-year-old’s age and ability began to mount as he hit the campaign trail.

A special counsel report released in February, for instance, said Biden “did not remember, even within several years, when his son Beau died” – something the president later denied. And Biden made several high-profile gaffes, calling Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi the “president of Mexico”.

The concerns over Biden crescendoed after a stumbling debate performance in June, where the president seemed to trail off mid-thought.

By July, Biden had abruptly dropped out of the race, and Democrats quickly coalesced around his vice president, Harris.

By early August, enough Democratic delegates had sided with Harris in a virtual vote for her to be named the party’s nominee for the presidency.

But it was an unorthodox process: never before had an incumbent president dropped out so late in a race, and never in recent history had a major party nominee bypassed the traditional primary process.

On Tuesday, Trump addressed the media after casting his ballot in Palm Beach, Florida, saying he feels “very confident” about his election odds.

“It looks like Republicans have shown up in force,” Trump said. “We’ll see how it turns out”.

He added, “I hear we’re doing very well.”

The election may still break new ground. In the charged political climate, fears of physical threats to polling sites have surged like never before.

And after four years of Trump claiming that the 2020 election had been stolen, observers have warned he and his allies could challenge the 2024 race if the results do not go his way.

That means the cloud of uncertainty that has hung over US politics for months may not dissipate anytime soon.

نوفمبر 5, 2024
Harris or Trump? Voting under way in US election after turbulent race | US Election 2024 News

Polling stations have opened in a number of states across the United States, with the votes deciding not only who the country’s next president will be but also the makeup of the House of Representatives and the Senate.

Election Day on Tuesday is the culmination of weeks of early voting in some locations. Several states began early voting – whether by mail or in person – as far back as September.

Nearly 81 million voters already cast their ballots before Election Day, according to the University of Florida’s Election Lab.

Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and Republican rival Donald Trump are going head-to-head in a race that remains too close to call.

Whatever the outcome, the result will define US politics and policy for the next four years. It will also be historic as voters will either elect the first female president in Harris or the first convicted felon in Trump.

The vote will also ultimately reveal the full extent of the changing demographics of the US electorate.

The first voting site technically opened just after Monday at midnight Eastern Time (05:00 GMT Tuesday) in the tiny New Hampshire town of Dixville Notch.

Once the polls close in the evening, the results may take hours or days to be tabulated. States cannot begin reporting their vote counts until polls close.

نوفمبر 5, 2024
Iran’s big question about US election: Will Trump or Harris seek diplomacy? | US Election 2024 News

Tehran, Iran – When the United States elects its president, the impact of its choice is felt around the world, and few countries are as directly affected as Iran.

But as the US votes on Tuesday in an election in which Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are running neck-and-neck, according to the final opinion polls, Iran is grappling with a particularly challenging reality, analysts say: Tensions with Washington appear poised to remain sky-high regardless of who ends up in the White House.

Democrat Harris and Republican Trump are gunning for the presidency at a time when a third major Iranian strike on Israel appears almost certain and concerns over an all-out regional war persist.

Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has promised a “tooth-crushing” response to Israel in retaliation for its first-ever claimed air strikes on Tehran and multiple other provinces on October 26.

Commanders with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) are suggesting their next action against Israel – which is expected to involve the Iranian army as well after four army soldiers were killed by Israeli bombs – will involve more advanced projectiles.

Against this backdrop, both presidential candidates in the US have been expressing hardline views about Tehran. Harris called Iran the “greatest adversary” of the US last month while Trump advocated for Israel hitting Iranian nuclear facilities.

At the same time, both have signalled that they will be willing to engage diplomatically with Iran.

Speaking to reporters in New York in September, Trump said he was open to restarting negotiations on a nuclear deal. “We have to make a deal because the consequences are impossible. We have to make a deal,” he said.

Harris has previously also supported a return to nuclear talks although her tone towards Iran has hardened more recently.

According to Tehran-based political analyst Diako Hosseini, the big question for Iran amid all of this is which of the two presidential candidates might be more prepared to manage tensions.

“Trump provides excessive support to Israel while Harris is highly committed to the mainstream US agenda against Iran,” he told Al Jazeera.

History of tensions

The history of the two candidates will also heavily impact their potential future relations with Tehran.

A year after becoming president in 2017, Trump unilaterally withdrew from the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and world powers, imposing the harshest-ever US sanctions on Iran, which encompassed its entire economy.

He also ordered the assassination of Qassem Soleimani, Iran’s top general and its second most powerful man after the supreme leader. Soleimani, the commander-in-chief of the Quds Force of the IRGC, was killed along with a senior Iraqi commander by a US drone in Iraq in January 2020.

After taking office in January 2021, the current US president, Joe Biden, and Harris continued with the enforcement of Trump’s sanctions, including during the years when Iran was dealing with the deadliest outbreak of COVID-19 in the Middle East, which killed close to 150,000 people.

The Biden administration has also considerably added to those sanctions, blacklisting many dozens more individuals and entities with the announced aim of targeting Iranian exports, limiting its military capabilities and punishing human rights abuses.

After an Iranian missile attack on Israel last month, Washington expanded sanctions on Iran’s petroleum and petrochemical sectors to negatively impact its crude exports to China, which had rebounded and grew over the past few years despite the sanctions.

Trump has claimed he will choke off resilient Iranian exports through better enforcement of the sanctions.

“Pursuing diplomacy with Trump is much harder for Iran due to the assassination of General Soleimani, but it’s not impossible,” Hosseini said.

“However, if a potential Harris administration is willing, Iran would not have any major obstacles for direct bilateral talks. Nevertheless, Iran is well and realistically aware that regardless of who takes over the White House as president, diplomacy with Washington is now considerably much more difficult than any other time.”

Since the US withdrawal from the landmark nuclear accord, all dialogue with the US – including failed efforts to revive the comatose nuclear agreement and a prisoner exchange deal last year – has been held indirectly and through intermediaries like Qatar and Oman.

‘Tactics might change’

The government of President Masoud Pezeshkian, comprised of representatives from reformist to hardline political factions within the Iranian establishment, has tried to strike a tone that projects both moderation and strength.

Pezeshkian said in a speech on Monday that Iran has been engaged in an “all-out economic war” and must stand up to its opponents by boosting its local economy. He has also repeatedly said he wants to work to get the sanctions removed and is open to talks with the West.

“It is strange that the Zionist regime and its backers keep making claims about human rights. Violence, genocide, crimes and murder are behind their apparently neat facade and neckties,” the president said during his latest speech.

Speaking to state television on Monday night, Iran’s top diplomat said Tehran “does not put that much value” into who wins the presidential race in the US.

“The country’s main strategies will not be impacted by these things. Tactics might change, and things might be accelerated or delayed, but we will never compromise on our fundamentals and goals,” Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said.

Araghchi travelled to Pakistan’s capital, Islamabad, on Tuesday, where he discussed the “threats posed by the Zionist regime and the regional crisis” with top officials, including army chief General Asim Munir.

The IRGC continues to carry out a large-scale military operation in the southeastern province of Sistan and Baluchistan bordering Pakistan and Afghanistan, where there have recently been multiple armed attacks by a separatist group that Iran believes is backed by Israel.

The Jaish al-Adl group killed 10 members of the Iranian armed forces in the province on October 26 in a strike condemned by the United Nations Security Council as a “heinous and cowardly terrorist attack”.

Since the attack, the IRGC said it has killed eight members of the group and arrested 14.

نوفمبر 5, 2024
Trump, Harris await presidential results

Harris will have dinner with her family before watch party at alma mater

Workers start to build out the Harris-Walz campaign election stage and event space at Howard University on November 03, 2024 in Washington, DC.

Kent Nishimura | Getty Images

Harris shared her plans for election day today on The Big K Morning Show with Larry Richert on NewsRadio KDKA. Her campaign headquarters for the night will be at her alma mater Howard University, and before that she plans to have dinner with family members.

“I have a tradition of having dinner with my family, and so we will do that. I have a lot of my family staying with us,” Harris said. “Then during the day, I’ll be today, all day, talking with folks and reminding them to get out to vote.”

— Ece Yildirim

Stocks move higher on Election Day

The stock market is climbing as traders brace for election results.

The Dow was up more than 300 points, or about 0.8%. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.9% and 1.1%, respectively.

Risers among S&P 500 stocks outnumbered declining names by more than 3-to-1, with industrial and energy stocks performing well.

U.S. equities have an unusually strong election year so far. The S&P 500 is up about 20% year to date and is within striking distance of a record high.

— Jesse Pound

Closely watched New York Times ‘needle’ might not move due to engineers’ strike

The New York Times 2020 Election Needles.

Source: New York Times

The New York Times “Needle,” which freaked out Hillary Clinton supporters in 2016, and dismayed Trump supporters in 2020, might not move much even as the votes roll in tonight.

The Needle, a speedometer-like graphic that represents the statistical likelihood of a presidential candidate winning, needs data from computer systems maintained by Times engineers — who are currently on strike.

The Times’ Election Analytics team said, “We will only publish a live version of the Needle if we are confident those systems are stable.”

“If we are not able to stream the Needle’s results live, our journalists plan to run its statistical model periodically, examine its output and publish updates in our live blog about what they see,” the team wrote.

— Dan Mangan

Rudy Giuliani ordered to court to explain missing property owed to election workers

Former mayor of New York City and former Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani reacts at the Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum during a rally held by Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump, in Uniondale, New York, on Sept. 18, 2024.

Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters

Former Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani was ordered to appear in federal court in New York City at noon to explain why personal property of his that two Georgia election workers have been authorized to sell off to satisfy a fraction of a $146 million defamation judgment against him is missing.

The order came on Monday, shortly after a lawyer for the workers, Ruby Freeman and Wandrea’ Moss, notified Manhattan U.S. District Court Judge Lewis Liman in a jaw-dropping letter that Giuliani and his lawyer “have refused or been unable to answer basic questions about the location of most of the property.”

Giuliani “apparently emptied the contents of” his New York apartment a month ago, without telling the women’s lawyer.

A federal judge in Washington, D.C., last year found the former New York mayor and top federal prosecutor liable for defaming the women by falsely accusing them of committing ballot fraud during the 2020 presidential election, when he was Trump’s top election lawyer. A jury later said he should pay them $146 million in damages.

— Dan Mangan

National Guard activated for election help across the country

Twenty states, including the District of Columbia, have put National Guard troops on state active-duty or prepare-to-activate orders to provide election support, NBC News reported.

The number, which is likely to grow, translates to about 350 troops across both categories.

The troops are mostly available to provide cyber, law enforcement or general support for the election.

— Kevin Breuninger, Courtney Kube, NBC News, and Mosheh Gains, NBC News

How social media platforms are combating disinformation today

Dilara Irem Sancar | Anadolu | Getty Images

Trump Media & Technology shares jump on Election Day

The Truth social network logo is seen in this photo illustration on 04 December, 2023 in Warsaw, Poland.

Jaap Arriens | Nurphoto | Getty Images

Trump Media & Technology shares popped more than 12% as Americans headed to the polls Tuesday.

It’s the latest swing for shares of the company, which operates Truth Social and is majority-owned by Republican nominee Trump. Some investors have seen the stock as a way to bet on the former president’s reelection odds.

Shares of the stock rallied more than 110% in October alone, marking its first positive month since March. The stock has gained another 10% since the start of November.

Trump Media & technology

Voting machines are malfunctioning in Pennsylvania’s Cambria County

A man votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election on Election Day, at the Mattress Factory in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, U.S., November 5, 2024.

Quinn Glabicki | Reuters

Vote-scanning machines are down in Cambria County, Pennsylvania, causing some complications for morning voters in a deep red county of the major swing state.

The Pennsylvania State Department said it is “in contact” with the county officials and is working to clear up the technical difficulties.

In the meantime, voters at the affected precincts are casting paper ballots, which are being stored in a secure location to be scanned once the machines are up and running.

In 2020, Trump won Cambria County by roughly 37 points against Joe Biden.

A couple of other instances of technical difficulties have been reported in other states, which have caused some voting delays, but the issues do not appear to be connected.

— Rebecca Picciotto

Trump can still vote in Florida despite his New York hush money conviction. Here’s why

Former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to the media after voting at a polling station setup in the Morton and Barbara Mandel Recreation Center on March 19, 2024, in Palm Beach, Florida.

Joe Raedle | Getty Images

Florida has led the country in disenfranchising citizens with felony records. But Donald Trump, the only former president ever to be found guilty of criminal charges, should have no trouble casting his ballot in the Sunshine State.

That’s because Trump was convicted in New York.

Under Florida law, an out-of-state felony conviction makes a person ineligible to vote only if they would also be ineligible in the state where they were found guilty.

Trump on May 30 was convicted by a New York jury of 34 felony counts of falsifying business records related to a hush money scheme to pay porn star Stormy Daniels for her silence ahead of the 2016 election.

A New York law passed in 2021 allows for convicted felons to register to vote if they are not incarcerated. It also restores the voting rights of convicted felons upon their release from incarceration.

On Sept. 6, Manhattan Supreme Court Judge Juan Merchan ruled that Trump will not be sentenced in the hush money case until Nov. 26 — three weeks after Election Day.

Trump traveled back to Florida on Tuesday, and he is expected to cast his ballot near his Mar-a-Lago home in West Palm Beach.

— Kevin Breuninger

Former Obama campaign manager Messina: “This is the closest race I have seen since 2000”

Trump 2024 senior economic advisor Stephen Moore and Former Obama campaign manager Jim Messina joined CNBC’s “Squawk Box” to share their expectations for the presidential race and discuss the candidates’ plans for the economy and businesses.

“This is the closest race I have seen since 2000, and I think anyone who tells you they know what’s going to happen tonight is drunk,” Messina said.

Moore said he is “not a big fan” of Trump’s highly contested universal tariffs plan and claimed that while he thinks he would implement “very stiff tariffs on China,” these proposals will be more akin to “negotiating tactics” with other countries.

— Ece Yildirim

No major incidents affecting U.S. election infrastructure so far, CISA says

Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency logo.

Source: Wikipedia

As of 9:30 a.m. ET on Tuesday, federal cybersecurity officials have not identified any significant national-level incidents affecting the security of U.S. election infrastructure, Cait Conley, senior advisor to the director at the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, told reporters in a briefing.

“We are tracking instances of extreme weather and other temporary infrastructure disruptions in certain areas of the country, but these are largely expected, routine and planned-for events,” Conley said.

— Ashley Capoot

Financial advisors urge investors to take a long-term view

Voters line up outside of a polling station at Donegan Elementary School as the polls open on Election Day in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, on Nov. 5, 2024.

Samuel Corum | AFP | Getty Images

Many investors worry how the markets may react based on who is elected president on Election Day, but experts at top financial advisory firms tell clients not to make any sudden moves in reaction to uncertainty.

In the long term, markets generally tend to do well, no matter who occupies the Oval Office.

Investment research company Morningstar recently evaluated how the S&P 500 has performed starting Nov. 1 in the past 25 U.S. presidential elections. Forward one-year returns were positive for 10 of the 13 elections where Democrats won, and in nine of the 12 contests where Republicans won, the firm found.

Forward four-year returns were positive for Democrats in 11 out of 12 terms, compared to Republicans who had positive returns in nine out of 12.

“Presidential elections historically have not been nearly as important to markets as most people think,” said Mark Motley, portfolio manager at Foster & Motley in Cincinnati, which is No. 34 on the 2024 CNBC Financial Advisor 100 list.

— Lorie Konish

Vance votes at Ohio polling site

Republican vice presidential nominee Sen. JD Vance arrives to vote at the St. Anthony of Padua Maronite Catholic Church on Election Day in Cincinnati, Ohio, on Nov. 5, 2024.

Carolyn Kaster | AP

Trump’s running mate, Ohio Sen. JD Vance, just voted at a polling site in Cincinnati.

Accompanied by his wife, Usha, and his children, Vance cast his ballot at St. Anthony of Padua Maronite Catholic Church.

“I of course voted for Donald Trump and myself. So did my wife,” Vance told reporters after voting.

“I feel good. You never know until you know, but I feel good about this race.”

— Kevin Breuninger

Scaramucci, Ramaswamy spar over Harris’ and Trump’s economic plans

“The stock market’s at an all-time high. We have great economic growth. The unemployment numbers are around 4%, and the economy’s doing quite well after Covid,” SkyBridge Capital’s Anthony Scaramucci said, making the case for Harris.

The former Trump White House official joined Strive Asset Management’s Vivek Ramaswamy on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” to debate Harris’ and Trump’s economic records.

— Josephine Rozzelle

Biden declares victory in end of Boeing’s 53-day strike

Members of the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers District 751, embrace at a union hall after learning that union members voted to approve a new contract proposal from Boeing in Seattle, Washington, U.S. November 4, 2024.

David Ryder | Reuters

President Joe Biden declared victory in Boeing machinists’ approval of a new labor deal, ending a 53-day strike that halted most aircraft production at a top U.S. exporter and military contractor and dented the last jobs report before Tuesday’s presidential election.

The deal “was achieved with the support of my economic team, including Acting Labor Secretary Julie Su and National Economic Advisor Lael Brainard,” Biden said in a statement.

“Over the last four years, we’ve shown collective bargaining works. Good contracts benefit workers, businesses, and consumers—and are key to growing the American economy from the middle out and the bottom up,” he said.

The new Boeing contract for its 33,000 unionized machinists, mostly on the U.S. West Coast, includes 38% raises over four years, a $12,000 and a deal with the company that it builds its next aircraft in one of the unionized factories in the Seattle area. Workers go back on the job as early as Wednesday, though the company isn’t out of the woods with several delayed aircraft programs including the late-arriving Boeing 747s that will serve as the next Air Force One airplanes.

—Leslie Josephs

Trump will host an exclusive Mar-a-Lago dinner for top donors tonight

Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump speaks during a press conference at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Palm Beach, Florida on Aug. 8, 2024.

Joe Raedle | Getty Images

Trump will host an exclusive election night dinner at Mar-a-Lago for club members and his top political donors, a source who received an invitation confirmed to NBC News.

The dinner is scheduled to take place after the Republican presidential nominee casts his vote in person. He then plans to call in to several tele-rallies, a person familiar with the planning told NBC News.

In the late afternoon, Trump will huddle with an inner circle of advisors, friends and donors, another source told NBC News.

When the race results start becoming more clear, the former president then plans to leave the resort and go to the Trump-Vance watch party at the Palm Beach Convention Center in West Palm Beach, Florida.

— Rebecca Picciotto

Bernie Marcus, Home Depot co-founder and Trump megadonor, dies at 95

Home Depot co-founder Bernie Marcus appears on “Cavuto: Coast to Coast,” with anchor Neil Cavuto, on the Fox Business Network, in New York, Monday, June 24, 2019.

Richard Drew | AP

Bernie Marcus, the billionaire co-founder of Home Depot and a major supporter of Trump’s political career, has died at 95, the company confirmed.

Marcus led the Home Depot for more than two decades, both as its first CEO and as chairman of the board. His net worth at the end of his life topped $11 billion, according to Forbes. The company now boasts more than 2,300 locations and employs more than 500,000 people.

Marcus was an outspoken supporter of Trump and other Republicans. His philanthropic vehicle, the Marcus Foundation, donated $10 million to the pro-Trump Preserve America PAC in the 2020 election. His family foundation gave $7 million to a pair of pro-Trump super PACs in the 2016 election.

In the 2024 cycle, Marcus said he preferred Trump’s Republican primary rival, Nikki Haley.

— Kevin Breuninger

Pollster Frank Luntz: Nevada, Pennsylvania will still be too close to call tomorrow

Pollster and political strategist Frank Luntz on CNBC’s Squawk Box this morning said he thinks Pennsylvania and Nevada will be too close to call on Wednesday morning, and that the general public will not know the results of presidential election until “either late Friday or early Saturday.”

“If Trump loses either [Georgia and North Carolina], it will be a Harris victory. If Trump wins either Pennsylvania or Michigan, it will be a Trump victory,” Luntz said.

Other metrics that Luntz is “watching keenly” are the Latino vote in Nevada and Arizona, whether conservative older woman will vote slightly more for Harris than they normally do for a Democratic candidate, younger women who are “more pro-Harris than any Democratic group,” and whether or not today’s polls will see a record-setting turnout, which would be “good news for Trump.”

— Ece Yildirim

Former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy explains how Trump could win tonight

Former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy joined CNBC’s “Squawk Box” this morning to talk about his expectations for tonight. McCarthy claimed polls are underestimating support for Trump in Wisconsin, and laid out how he thinks Harris is faring in Pennsylvania.

— Ece Yildirim

First results are in from a small New Hampshire town — it’s a Harris-Trump tie

A voter walks with his dog after casting his ballot in the First-in-the-Nation midnight vote for the New Hampshire primary elections in the Living Room of the Tillotson House at the Balsams Grand Resort in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire, on January 23, 2024.

Sebastien St-Jean | AFP | Getty Images

Harris and Trump tied the midnight race in Dixville Notch, an unincorporated community in a small New Hampshire township where there are six registered voters this year.

Three of those voters went for Harris while the other three went for Trump. The polls opened at midnight and closed at 12:07 a.m. E.T.

Since 1960, Dixville Notch voters have followed the tradition of submitting their votes in person in a wooden box just after midnight, before the results are announced minutes later.

Though the Dixville Notch result is not a predictive measure, the tradition has kicked off Election Day events for decades of night owls.

This year, the Harris-Trump tie happens to mirror the dead-heat race that polls have been reporting over the past several months. In 2020, President Biden received all five of the Dixville Notch votes cast before winning the overall race.

— Rebecca Picciotto

Trump Media shares are popping in pre-market trading

Republican presidential nominee former U.S. President Donald Trump gestures during an 11th Hour Faith Leaders Meeting in Concord, North Carolina, U.S., October 21, 2024.

Brian Snyder | Reuters

Shares of Trump Media & Technology Group are trading higher this morning as investors make some of their final bets on the former president’s company in his final hours in the race against Harris.

The DJT stock was up roughly 9% at one point before the market opened.

The meme stock tends to fluctuate, but over the course of the election, it has often been viewed as a proxy gauge for Trump’s chances at a second presidential term.

Wall Street analysts listed it as a stock to watch going into Election Day.

Read the full story here

— Fred Imbert and Rebecca Picciotto

What’s Trump doing on Election Day?

Republican presidential nominee, former President Donald Trump holds up a fist at a campaign rally at the Santander Arena on November 04, 2024 in Reading, Pennsylvania.

Chip Somodevilla | Getty Images

Trump closed out his campaign on Monday with four rallies in three swing states: Two in Pennsylvania, plus one each in North Carolina and Michigan.

On Election Day, the only officially announced event is the Trump-Vance watch party at the Palm Beach Convention Center in West Palm Beach, Florida.

— Kevin Breuninger

More than 77 million have cast early votes

Duke University students wait in line with residents of Durham County to cast their ballots at a polling site on campus during the penultimate day of early voting in the state, in Durham, North Carolina, U.S. November 1, 2024.

Jonathan Drake | Reuters

More than 77 million Americans have already cast their ballots by mail or in person, according to NBC News’ tally of the early vote.

That’s far less than in 2020, when more than 100 million Americans voted early. But those results came in the middle of the deadly Covid-19 pandemic, when many Americans avoided public gatherings and states had greatly expanded absentee and early voting rules.

Trump criticized early voting in 2020 — a stance that may have helped President Joe Biden clinch several key swing states.

While Trump has at times waxed nostalgic about single-day voting in the 2024 cycle, both his campaign and Harris’ have mostly encouraged their supporters to vote as soon as they can.

NBC’s data, provided by TargetSmart, show Democrats slightly leading Republicans in the early vote tally, 41% to 39%.

Among the seven key battleground states, more registered Democrats appear to have voted early in three — Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — while registered Republicans lead in Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina and Georgia.

Voters fill out their ballots for the presidential election during early voting ahead of the polls closing November 5 at the Detroit Elections Office in Detroit, Michigan, U.S. October 28, 2024.

Rebecca Cook | Reuters

What it all means for the final result is far from clear.

While early-vote figures are often viewed as a signal about certain voters’ enthusiasm or expected turnout, it’s hard to predict how many more voters will show up on Tuesday. It is also difficult to know ahead of time whether a party’s early vote share is “cannibalizing” its Election Day turnout.

An NBC analysis found that among early voters in 2024 who did not vote in 2020, Democrats outpace Republicans in Pennsylvania, and female Democrats are the biggest group of new voters in the state.

In Arizona, however, there were more Republican new voters than Democratic ones, and male Republicans led the way.

— Kevin Breuninger

What’s Kamala Harris doing on Election Day?

Democratic presidential nominee U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris smiles during her campaign rally, in Allentown, Pennsylvania, U.S., November 4, 2024.

Eloisa Lopez | Reuters

After storming Pennsylvania on Monday, Harris’ Election Day schedule is relatively sparse — at least for now.

The only item on her agenda is an election night watch party at Howard University, her alma mater in Washington, D.C.

The campaign will hold an event at “the Yard,” the main quadrangle on campus.

Walz and his wife, Gwen Walz, are also set to participate in a political event in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, NBC News reported.

— Kevin Breuninger

نوفمبر 5, 2024
US election 2024: Could Jill Stein determine whether Trump or Harris wins? | US Election 2024 News
In an advertisement for the Democrats in the United States in October, an image of left-wing environmentalist politician Jill Stein morphs into the face of Republican candidate and former President Donald Trump within the blink of an eye.

“A vote for Stein is really a vote for Trump,” a cautionary voiceover in the advertisement, titled “Crucial”, says. The video segues into Trump at a Pennsylvania rally this year, saying: “Jill Stein? I like her very much. You know why? She takes 100 percent from them.”

On October 28, the Democratic National Committee announced that it would spend about $500,000 in a last-minute effort to persuade voters in swing states against voting for third-party candidates such as Stein, the Green Party’s nominee for the presidential election, and the unaffiliated candidate, Cornel West.

Both Trump and the Democrats have implied that Stein could dent the vote for Democratic candidate and Vice President Kamala Harris, paving the way for a Trump win.

But what do the polls say? How much impact could Stein, a third-party candidate, have on the outcome?

Who is Jill Stein and what are her key positions?

Stein, 74, is the US Green Party nominee for the presidential election. She announced her candidacy via a video message on X on November 9, 2023. She previously ran for the 2012 and 2016 elections.

Born in Chicago and raised in Illinois, Stein graduated from Harvard College in 1973 and from Harvard Medical School in 1979. Her campaign website describes her as a practising physician.

The Green Party is a left-wing federation of Green state parties in the US, advocating for environmentalism and social justice.

Her positions on some of the key issues in this election are:

Israel’s war on Gaza

Stein has called for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza, an end to the blockade of the Palestinian enclave, the provision of humanitarian aid and the release of Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails alongside Israeli captives being held in Gaza. According to her campaign website, she wants to “stop US support and arms sales to human rights abusers”. She wants to “end the longstanding US practice of vetoing UN Security Council resolutions to hold Israel accountable to international law”. She also says she wants to disband NATO and “replace it with a modern, inclusive security framework that respects the security interests of all nations and people”.

Russia-Ukraine war

The Green Party wants to “stop fuelling” the Russia-Ukraine war and work on negotiating a peaceful end to it.

Climate change

Stein’s party wants to advance the Green New Deal proposal to transition to clean energy and achieve zero emissions. The party says it takes an “eco-socialist approach” towards the environment, centring and compensating Black people, Indigenous people and the poor. Stein wants to declare a climate emergency and ensure the release of $650bn annually to boost renewable energy and clean transport.

The economy

A Stein administration would seek to create an economy that “works for working people, not just the wealthy and powerful”. Stein wants to introduce an economic bill of rights, abolishing private schools and guaranteeing free childcare and a lifelong free public education for all from preschool to graduate school. Additionally, she wants to cancel student debt for 43 million people in the US. She also wants to reduce taxes on incomes below the real median income of $75,000 per household, and increase taxes on “the ultra-wealthy and giant corporations”.

How is Stein faring in the polls?

Overall, Stein was polling at about 1 percent nationally, according to The New York Times polling released in the first week of October.

However, discontent is brewing among many Arab-American and Muslim voters towards both the leading candidates – Harris and Trump – because of their unwavering support for Israel in its war in Gaza.

The Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR), a US-based Muslim civil rights and advocacy organisation, revealed on Friday that 42.3 percent of Muslim voters prefer Stein compared with 41 percent of Muslim voters who prefer Harris.

The poll of 1,449 verified Muslim American voters was conducted between October 1 and 31. It showed just 9.8 percent of Muslim voters were in support of Trump.

On February 27 this year, CAIR estimated that there were about 2.5 million registered Muslim American voters. That is approximately 1.6 percent of some 160 million registered voters in the US.

How is Stein polling in the swing states?

Between October 30 and 31, Brazil-based analytics and data intelligence website AtlasIntel polled samples of voters in the seven swing states.
- Arizona: 1.1 percent of voters preferred Stein; 50.8 percent preferred Trump; and 45.9 Harris
- Georgia: 2 percent for Stein; 48.8 percent for Trump; and 47.2 percent for Harris
- Michigan: 1.7 percent for Stein; 49.2 percent for Trump; and 48.3 percent for Harris
- Nevada: 1.2 percent of voters chose “Others”; 50.5 percent chose Trump; and 46.9 percent chose Harris; Stein did not figure on the ballot
- North Carolina: 0.7 percent for Stein; 50.7 percent for Trump; and 46.7 percent for Harris
- Pennsylvania: 1 percent for Stein; 48.5 percent for Trump; and 47.4 percent for Harris
- Wisconsin: 0.8 percent for Stein; 48.5 percent for Trump; and 48.2 percent for Harris
Could Stein swing this election?

As the margins between Harris and Trump are so slim, some experts believe that votes for Stein could indeed swing the election.

“The vote right now is so close that a small amount of tipping in one direction or another could swing it,” Bernard Tamas, professor of political science at Valdosta State University, told The Guardian newspaper.

The Guardian also quoted Nura Sediqe, an assistant professor in American politics at Michigan State University, who said: “Muslims are split. They’re not all voting third party, but let’s imagine a third are: then you’ve got up to 50,000 votes that had traditionally gone to the Democrats moving away. So if the margin is as slim as it was last time, it may affect the Democratic party.”

On Friday, the European Green family, including Green parties all over Europe, released a joint statement calling on Stein to withdraw from the race and endorse Harris. “We are clear that Kamala Harris is the only candidate who can block Donald Trump and his anti-democratic, authoritarian policies from the White House,” the statement read.

However, Kyle Kopko, an adjunct professor of political science at Elizabethtown College in Pennsylvania told Al Jazeera that while Stein can, in theory, swing the election, in practise it depends on how close the election results are.

It will have to be an “extraordinarily close election” for her to swing the vote, Kopko said.

Have votes for Stein swung elections before?

Stein contested the 2016 election and won 132,000 votes across battleground states Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Together, the three states are worth 44 Electoral votes.

In these three states, Democrat Hilary Clinton lost by a combined 77,000 votes. Despite winning the popular vote, therefore, Clinton lost the Electoral College vote to Trump, who won 304 votes compared with Clinton’s 227.

The Republican leader beat Clinton in Michigan with a 0.3 percentage point margin of victory, in Pennsylvania with a 0.7 point margin of victory and in Wisconsin with a 0.7 point margin. These narrow victories earned him 44 Electoral votes combined from the three states.

In November 2016, an analysis cited by Vox suggested that if every Stein voter had voted for Clinton instead, she could have won Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, and therefore, the election.

Kopko said this might be misleading, however. If Stein had not been on the ballot, it is unlikely that every Stein voter would have voted for Clinton. “Some voters would be disillusioned and not vote at all, or find another third party candidate to vote for,” he said.

Have other third-party candidates affected election results?

In the 2000 US presidential election, Green Party candidates Ralph Nader and Winona LaDuke contested the election on the party’s ticket and ended up winning 2.7 percent of the popular vote. Nader made inroads in swing states Florida and New Hampshire, and it is believed that this allowed the states to switch from the Democrats to the Republicans.

This fed speculation that the Green Party ticket ate away the vote share for Democrat Al Gore to bolster a Republican George Bush win. The Green Party denied this.

Gore won more than half a million votes and conceded only after a monthlong legal battle.

The two-party political system has made it difficult for third parties to make a dent in election results.

Only four third-party candidates have been able to win Electoral College votes since 1920. They are – Robert La Follette, who won 13 Electoral votes in 1924; Strom Thurmond, who won 39 in 1948; George Wallace, who won 45 in 1968; and John Hospers, who won one Electoral vote cast by a faithless elector in 1972.
نوفمبر 5, 2024
First US election result is three-all tie between Trump and Harris | New Hampshire

The traditional first tally of the 2024 US presidential elections in the tiny village of Dixville Notch, in New Hampshire’s northern tip, ended in a deadlock: three votes to Kamala Harris and three for Donald Trump.

It took approximately 12 minutes to count and certify the votes of the six residents of this tiny community near the Canadian border, which has been casting its ballots at midnight on election day for decades. The result marks a significant shift from four years ago, when all five votes went to Joe Biden.

Dixville Notch, in the White Mountains, started its early voting in 1960. The tradition originated in the nearby town of Hart’s Location, to accommodate rail workers who had to be at work before normal voting hours.

Although the town’s result doesn’t always predict the eventual winner – in 2016, Hillary Clinton beat Trump here by four votes to two – this time the result chimes with what most polls say is an extremely close election and evenly divided electorate.

“This feels about normal,” Tom Tillotson, 79, told the New York Times. His father, Neil Tillotson, started the tradition of early-morning voting at his Balsams Grand Resort hotel in 1960, gaining free publicity by allowing journalists to use the hotel’s phones to report the vote count, well before exit polls from other areas were available.

All six residents who voted in this year’s election live in the former hotel. One of them, Scott Maxwell, expressed surprise at the unexpected split result. “I didn’t see that coming,” he told the New York Times. He also admitted that even he was taken aback by his vote for Trump.

Les Otten, another voter, told CNN the early release of the results are “a civics lesson for the country”, adding: “If we can help people get out and understand that voting is an important part of their right as an American citizen, that’s perhaps the key to what we’re doing.”

نوفمبر 5, 2024
US election results 2024 live: Donald Trump and Kamala Harris vie to be president | US elections 2024

Electoral college votes

Electoral college votes

First results expected after 18.00 EST (15.00 PDT or 23.00 GMT)

How does the US election work?

The winner of the election is determined through a system called the electoral college.

What is the electoral college and how does it work?

Each of the 50 states, plus Washington DC, is given a number of electoral college votes, adding up to a total of 538 votes. More populous states get more electoral college votes than smaller ones.

A candidate needs to win 270 electoral college votes (50% plus one) to win the election.

In every state except two – Maine and Nebraska – the candidate that gets the most votes wins all of the state’s electoral college votes.

Electoral college votes correspond to electors from each state. These electors vote directly for the president, based on the results in the general election in their state. In early January, following the presidential election, Congress convenes in a joint session to count and certify the electoral votes.

How do people vote in the US election?

Elections in the US are administered by each state. Whether by mail-in ballots or voting in person on election day, people effectively vote in 51 mini-elections in the presidential election.

Due to the electoral college rules, a candidate can win the election without getting the most votes at the national level. This happened in 2016, when Trump won a majority of electoral college votes although more people voted for Hillary Clinton across the US.

A handful of races are run with a ranked choice voting system, whereby voters can rank candidates in their order of preference. If no candidate gets more than 50% of the vote, then the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their supporters’ votes will be counted for their next choice. The Guardian has marked these elections where applicable above, and shows the results of the final result with redistributed votes.

How are the votes counted?

Vote verification and counting involves many processes to ensure oversight and security, and it runs before, during and after election day.

As soon as the polls close, local precincts count the ballots cast in person on election day, alongside any absentee or mail-in ballots that have been verified. Processes vary by state, but typically this involves verifying mail-in voter signatures and ensuring ballots are properly filled out. Provisional ballots, used when there are questions about a voter’s eligibility, are set aside for later verification.

Verified ballots are then counted, usually digitally but in some cases manually. The counts are then transmitted to county election offices for aggregation and verification.

This process involves thousands of local election officials who are either appointed or elected, depending on the state. Partisan and nonpartisan observers can monitor vote counting.

State election authorities then compile the county-level results and, after another round of verification, certify the final results.

Results are communicated through media – the Guardian receives results data from the Associated Press.

Official results can take days or weeks to be fully finalised. This is often because of the verification process of absentee, mail-in and provisional ballots. In some states, mail-in ballots can be received and counted several days after election day. High voter turnouts and potential recounts in close races can also slow down results publication.

How are the results reported?

The election results on this page are reported by the Associated Press (AP). AP “call” the winner in a state when they determine that the trailing candidate has no path to victory. This can happen before 100% of votes in a state have been counted.

Estimates for the total vote in each state are also provided by AP. The numbers update throughout election night and in the following days, as more data on voter turnout becomes available.

Illustrations by Sam Kerr. Cartograms by Pablo Gutiérrez.

نوفمبر 5, 2024