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  • US election: 4 days left – What polls say, what Harris and Trump are up to | US Election 2024 News

    US election: 4 days left – What polls say, what Harris and Trump are up to | US Election 2024 News

    On Thursday, presidential candidates made a final push to energise voters in the western United States.

    At rallies, Vice President Kamala Harris warned supporters that abortion rights are under threat. Meanwhile, former President Donald Trump focused his campaign on immigration and border control.

    What are the latest updates from the polls?

    Recent polls from AtlasIntel, released on Thursday, show Trump holding a slight lead of one to two percentage points over his opponent. However, a separate poll from TIPP Insights indicates that the candidates are currently tied.

    A recent survey by the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research reveals that about 70 percent of Americans feel anxious or frustrated regarding the election, with few expressing  enthusiasm.

    Both Democrats and Republicans share these sentiments, but Democrats report higher levels of anxiety: 80 percent of Democrats and 77 percent of Republicans express interest in the campaign, while only 54 percent of independents feel similarly. Furthermore, 79 percent of Democrats report feeling anxious, compared with 66 percent of Republicans.

    According to FiveThirtyEight’s National Polls tracker, Harris maintains a narrow national lead of about 1.2 points as of Thursday. However, this lead has gradually decreased and falls within the margin of error, indicating a highly competitive race.

    In critical swing states, which could determine the election outcome, the competition is even tighter.

    Key battleground states include Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin, and Nevada. FiveThirtyEight’s daily poll tracker indicates that Harris’s lead in Michigan remains slight, at approximately 0.8 points. However, she has lost her lead in Nevada, where Trump now leads by 0.3 points.

    In Wisconsin, her lead has dropped to 0.6 points, down from 0.8 points on Wednesday.

    On the other hand, Trump’s advantage in Pennsylvania has increased slightly, rising from 0.4 points to 0.7 points. His lead in North Carolina has returned to last week’s levels, now at 1.4 points. Trump is also gaining ground in Arizona, where he leads Harris by 2.4 points, and in Georgia, where his advantage is 1.8 points.

    What was Kamala Harris up to on Thursday?

    The Harris campaign has zeroed in on what Trump said last night at a campaign rally in Green Bay, Wisconsin, where he told an anecdote about telling his team that he intends “to protect the women of our country”.

    “I’m gonna do it whether the women like it or not,” Trump said.

    Speaking to reporters on Thursday, Harris slammed the remarks as “offensive”.

    “It actually is, I think, very offensive to women in terms of not understanding their agency, their authority, their right and their ability to make decisions about their own lives, including their own bodies,” Harris said before embarking on a day of campaigning in the Western battleground states of Arizona and Nevada.

    In Phoenix, Mexican American band Los Tigres del Norte kicked off Harris’s rally with a song expressing a desire to eliminate the border and unite the two countries. Founded in the 1960s, the band has a deep resonance on both sides of the border and continues to captivate generations of devoted fans.

    In Phoenix, her speech was interrupted by pro-Palestinian protesters in the first 10 minutes.

    Harris paused briefly to acknowledge them. “Hey guys, you know what? Here’s the thing – let’s talk for a moment about Gaza,” she said. “We all want this war to end and get the hostages out, and I will work on it full-time when I am elected president, as I’ve been.”

    Harris also contrasted her willingness to engage with those who disagree with her against Trump’s remarks about jailing his opponents. This was mentioned as several protesters were being escorted out, and she said: “Democracy can be complicated sometimes. It’s OK. We’re fighting for the right for people to be heard and not jailed because they speak their mind.″

    Since winning the Democratic nomination earlier this year, Harris has at times adopted a confrontational stance towards protesters.

    When a group of protesters interrupted her at an August event by chanting, “Kamala, Kamala, you can’t hide, we won’t vote for genocide,” Harris responded directly: “If you want Donald Trump to win, then say that. Otherwise, I’m speaking.”

    On Thursday, during her final stop of the day in Las Vegas, Nevada, Jennifer Lopez also spoke, and there was a performance by the Mexican rock band Mana.

    Harris
    US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris walks on stage as she arrives for a rally in Reno, Nevada [AFP]

    What was Donald Trump up to on Thursday?

    At his first rally in New Mexico, Trump urged the crowd to vote for him, promising to solve the border issue. The state, with five Electoral College votes, is widely expected to vote for Harris.

    “One of the reasons we will win this state is you have one of the worst border problems of any state, and I’m the only one who will fix it,” he said.

    In Henderson, Nevada, Trump accused Harris of operating a lax border policy and promised a mass deportation programme if he is elected.

    He began by demonising migrants, saying some are “horrible, deathly” people. He also called Harris “horrible, the worst there is”, while urging his supporters to vote early.

    “We’ll fix it fast, and we’re going to have an America that’s bigger, better, bolder, richer, safer and stronger than ever before,” he added.

    In Nevada, many of his supporters wore orange and yellow safety vests.

    The fashion choice comes a day after Trump wore a similar ensemble to draw attention to recent comments by President Joe Biden that suggested his supporters were “garbage”.

    Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump walks in front of his supporters during a rally at Albuquerque International Sunport, in Albuquerque, New Mexico, U.S. October 31, 2024. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
    Trump walks in front of his supporters during a rally at Albuquerque International Sunport, in Albuquerque, New Mexico [Brendan McDermid/Reuters]

    Al Jazeera’s John Holman, who attended the rally, noted that while Trump concentrated on migration, the primary concern for voters in Nevada is the economy.

    “Trump’s rally had a lot of talk about migration, but actually, the key issue here in Nevada for voters – according to polls – is the economy,” Holman said.

    “This is the state with the highest unemployment in the US. It’s been hit hard with inflation. Gas prices, in particular, are high, and it’s a state that has never completely recovered from the pandemic,” Holman added.

    During his rally, Trump also spoke about inflation, and “he briefly said that he was going to abolish a federal tax on tips,” Holman said.

    Trump also spoke at Tucker Carlson’s live tour event in Glendale, Arizona.

    Trump rally in Henderson, Nevada
    Trump speaks during a rally in Henderson, Nevada [Mike Blake/Reuters]

    What’s next for the Harris and Trump campaigns?

    Harris heads to Wisconsin

    Harris is heading to Wisconsin, where she is expected to hold an event in the Appleton area at approximately 23:00 GMT, followed by another in Milwaukee at about 02:00 GMT.

    The Milwaukee rally and concert features performances by GloRilla, Flo Milli, MC Lyte, The Isley Brothers, DJ GEMINI GILLY.

    Cardi B is also anticipated to make an appearance at her rally, joining a growing list of celebrities who have campaigned for her in the final days of the 2024 election.

    President Joe Biden will travel to Philadelphia and, on Saturday, to his hometown of Scranton, both in Pennsylvania, where he will aim to energise voters in this key swing state.

    Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Walz is expected to also campaign in the battleground state of Michigan.

    Trump heads to Michigan and Wisconsin

    Donald Trump is scheduled to visit Dearborn, Michigan – home to the largest Arab-majority population in the nation – on Friday, where he is expected to hold a rally at Macomb Community College in Warren at 20:30 GMT.

    As the Arab American vote in Michigan has increased over the years, it has become a critical factor in major elections, such as Bernie Sanders’s primary victory in the state in 2016.

    Consequently, Dearborn has drawn significant attention from national and international media during campaign season.

    Trump is the first major 2024 candidate to visit the city.

    Dearborn Mayor Abdullah Hammoud, who served in the state legislature as a Democrat, has not endorsed any candidates, urging residents to “vote their conscience” instead.

    Meanwhile, the Harris campaign is facing outrage after former President Bill Clinton – while campaigning for her – suggested that Zionism predates Islam and that Hamas “forces” Israel to kill Palestinian civilians.

  • US election: 1 day left – What polls say, what Harris and Trump are up to | US Election 2024 News

    US election: 1 day left – What polls say, what Harris and Trump are up to | US Election 2024 News

    With just one day remaining until the US presidential election, campaigning has hit overdrive.

    Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and her Republican rival Donald Trump are on a tour of swing states aiming to sway undecided voters. On Sunday, Harris was in Michigan, while Trump focused on North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Georgia.

    What are the latest updates from the polls?

    A recent New York Times/Siena poll shows that Trump and Harris are effectively tied in Pennsylvania, each receiving 48 percent of the vote.

    Meanwhile, according to FiveThirtyEight’s National Polls tracker, Harris holds a narrow lead of 1 percentage point over Trump.

    However, this lead is shrinking, indicating that either candidate has a strong chance of winning.

    In critical swing states, the competition is intensifying, with candidates frequently alternating their lead based on the latest polls.

    Key battleground states include Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin, and Nevada.

    According to FiveThirtyEight’s daily tracker, Harris holds a narrow lead in Michigan and Wisconsin, with margins of approximately 0.8 points and 0.6 points, respectively.

    On the other hand, Trump is gaining ground in Arizona, where he currently has a 2.5-point advantage over Harris. In North Carolina and Georgia, his lead hovers at about 1.5 points. Additionally, Trump maintains a 0.9-point advantage in Nevada and holds a slim margin of 0.3 points in the crucial state of Pennsylvania.

    What was Harris up to on Sunday?

    Harris made her first stop in Detroit, where she spoke to a church congregation.

    “We heard Harris speak about the need to unite the country, to help it heal after a polarising election,” Al Jazeera’s Teresa Bo, reporting from Detroit, Michigan, said.

    “She’s certainly appealing to the African American voters in Michigan, a crucial swing state. Recent polls show that she’s lagging behind, especially among African American men. Many people we have spoken to say they are not going to vote because they don’t believe it will impact their lives,” Bo said.

    Democratic presidential nominee U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris visits Greater Emmanuel Institutional Church of God in Christ in Detroit, Michigan, U.S., November 3, 2024. REUTERS/Leah Millis
    Harris visits Greater Emmanuel Institutional Church of God in Christ in Detroit, Michigan [Leah Millis/Reuters]

    Later in the day, Harris mentioned that she had submitted her mail-in ballot for the 2024 election, sending it to California. She continued her campaign in Michigan in efforts to earn the support of Arab American voters.

    “I have been very clear [that] the level of death of innocent Palestinian children is unconscionable. We need to end the war, and we need to get the hostages out. And as president of the United States, I will do everything in my power to achieve that end,” she said.

    Many Arab Americans, who have historically favoured Democrats, have shifted towards the Republican presidential candidate this election amid widespread anger and frustration over US support of Israel’s devastating war on Gaza.

    recent Arab News/YouGov poll found Trump leading Harris among the group 45 percent to 43 percent.

    Kamala Harris stands on stage at a campaign rally in Michigan
    Harris gestures during a campaign rally at Michigan State University in East Lansing [Carlos Osorio/Reuters]

    What was Trump up to on Sunday?

    The former president started his campaign in Lititz, Pennsylvania where he said he felt he “shouldn’t have left” the White House after his 2020 election loss, which he has yet to concede.

    The Republican presidential candidate also launched into a tirade against the voting process, accusing his opponents of “fighting so hard to steal this damn thing”. He also lashed out at the press.

    “I have this piece of glass here,” said Trump, referring to the ballistic glass placed in front of him at events following a gunman’s attempt to assassinate him at a July rally. “But all we have really over here is the fake news. And to get me, somebody would have to shoot through the fake news. And I don’t mind that so much.”

    Reporting from a Trump rally in North Carolina, Al Jazeera’s Alan Fisher noted that Trump appeared tired during his speech in Kinston.

    “It’s a very low-energy sort of performance for Donald Trump, understandably, since he’s been on the road for a long time,” Fisher said.

    “He started the day in Pennsylvania, is here in North Carolina, and has still one more rally to do in Georgia. He’s already running about two hours behind.

    In Georgia, Trump slammed the Biden-Harris administration on immigrants and the economy. “I am hereby calling for the death penalty for any migrant that kills an American citizen or a law enforcement officer.”

    Donald Trump
    Trump gestures as he finishes speaking at a campaign rally in Lititz [Evan Vucci/AP]

    What’s next for the Harris and Trump campaigns?

    Harris heads to Pennsylvania

    Harris will spend the final day before the election at a series of campaign events in the swing state of Pennsylvania.

    She will be joined by several celebrities, including Lady Gaga, Ricky Martin, Just Blaze and Oprah Winfrey at a Get Out the Vote event in Philadelphia on Monday night.

    Harris will also campaign with D-Nice, Katy Perry and Andra Day in Pittsburgh.

    In Pennsylvania, which holds 19 Electoral votes, all eyes are on what many see as the “tipping point” in the race for the White House.

    According to FiveThirtyEight, the race in Pennsylvania is nearly deadlocked. A recent poll by Univision and YouGov shows that more than 60 percent of Latino voters in Pennsylvania say they plan to support Harris in the election.

    Trump is back in North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan

    Trump will hold a rally in North Carolina in the morning before travelling to Pennsylvania for events in Reading, west of Philadelphia, and in Pittsburgh.

    He will end the day with a rally in Grand Rapids, Michigan, where he will seek to energise his base to vote on November 5.

    Trump won North Carolina in 2016 and 2020. But according to Al Jazeera’s Fisher, Trump needs to win again in the swing state.

    “The fact that four of his last 10 events have been here in the state tells us his campaign is not certain it is a done deal,” Fisher added.