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  • Why AP called North Carolina for Trump

    Why AP called North Carolina for Trump

    WASHINGTON (AP) — Republican voters in North Carolina cast ballots in greater numbers than four years ago, while Democratic turnout sagged. Together, those two factors carried Donald Trump to victory over Vice President Kamala Harris, marking the third time he has carried the swing state.

    While Trump has consistently won North Carolina, his victory over Democrat Joe Biden in 2020 was much narrower — just over 1%. This year Trump held a 2.8 percentage point lead when The Associated Press called the race for him at 11:18 p.m. ET once it became clear that there weren’t enough outstanding votes left in Democratic-leaning areas for Harris to overtake his lead.

    To understand why Harris did not do as well as Biden in the state, consider Nash and New Hanover counties.

    Hillary Clinton lost Nash County, which is east of Raleigh, but Biden flipped it four years later. This year, Trump carried it by 2 percentage points when the race was called. Meanwhile, Harris was winning in New Hanover County, which is home to Wilmington, but she did not do as well as Biden did in 2020.

    CANDIDATES: President: Harris (D) v. Trump (R) v. Chase Oliver (Libertarian) v. Jill Stein (Green) v. Randall Terry (Constitution) v. Cornel West (Justice For All).

    WINNER: Trump

    POLL CLOSING TIME: 7:30 p.m. ET.

    ABOUT THE RACE:

    North Carolina gave Trump his tightest swing state victory during the 2020 election, a contest in which he edged Biden by roughly a percentage point but still received less than 50% of the vote. Fast-forward four years, and the dynamics have become even more complicated.

    Democratic presidential candidates have carried North Carolina only twice since 1968 — the most recent in 2008, when Barack Obama carried the state. But the state is one of the fastest-growing, with migration from elsewhere in the United States serving as the primary driver of population growth. Many are college-educated professionals — a demographic group that has increasingly favored the Democratic Party.

    Layer on top of that the aftereffects of Hurricane Helene, which ravaged western parts of the state that are more conservative and still grappling with the devastation, and it offered Democrats perhaps the best chance they had in years to carry the state.

    WHY AP CALLED THE RACE: Trump did better in North Carolina than four years ago — when he also won the race. Harris, meanwhile, failed to draw as much support as Biden. When the race was called, she would have needed to garner almost 60% of the remaining vote and there just weren’t enough votes left in Democratic strongholds for her to reach that threshold.

    ___

    Learn more about how and why the AP declares winners in U.S. elections at Explaining Election 2024, a series from The Associated Press aimed at helping make sense of the American democracy. The AP receives support from several private foundations to enhance its explanatory coverage of elections and democracy. See more about AP’s democracy initiative here. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

  • Josh Stein beats Mark Robinson in North Carolina governor’s race | US elections 2024

    North Carolina voters have once again given its governor’s mansion to a Democrat, electing the attorney general, Josh Stein, over the embattled lieutenant governor, Mark Robinson, in a race defined by the extreme rhetoric and controversies surrounding the Republican candidate.

    Stein’s victory gives North Carolina its first Jewish governor. It also marks a repudiation of Robinson, the divisive figure who drew attention for stunning public comments about women, the LGBTQ+ community and racial minorities both before and during his time in office, Stein said.

    “Tonight, we came together to resoundingly embrace a vision that is optimistic, forward-looking, and welcoming,” Stein said on X. “I couldn’t have done this without each of you.”

    Stein’s campaign focused on his record combating opioids as attorney general, his commitment to abortion rights, preventing Republican legislators from exercising unchecked power, and not being Robinson.

    At his election watch party, Robinson said: “It’s not about the lies. It’s not about the half-truths. It’s about the people who believe in you … I stand here strong and proud – glad to have run a race that was upright and decent.”

    Republican leaders and financial donors largely abandoned Robinson after a CNN investigative report linked him to an online persona in which he described himself as a “black NAZI!”, extolled the virtues of chattel slavery and engaged in grotesque sexual commentary on a pornographic chat board. Robinson denied that the “minisoldr” profile was his, and has filed suit against CNN and others linked to the story.

    But the CNN report was only the loudest in a line of controversies that dogged Robinson throughout the campaign. Robinson has, among many other inflammatory comments, referred to homosexuality and transgender identity as “filth”, suggested he would support returning to a time when women did not have the right to vote, and mocked survivors of the Parkland school shooting, calling them “spoiled little bastards”.

    Speaking at Lake church in the eastern North Carolina town of White Lake on the Fourth of July, Robinson said “some folks need killing” while describing his posture toward people he perceives as America’s enemies, an assortment in his speech that ranged from “people who have evil intent” to “socialists” and “communists”, a term he regularly assigns to Democrats.

    Donald Trump had endorsed Robinson, calling him “Martin Luther King on steroids” at a rally in March. By October, as observers speculated whether Robinson’s political toxicity could cost Republicans the state in the presidential race, Trump had barred him from appearing together in public. Asked if he would withdraw his endorsement, Trump said: “I’m not familiar with the race. I haven’t seen it.”

    Though North Carolina’s legislature has a Republican supermajority and a majority of its statewide elected officials are Republicans, Robinson never held a polling lead and lost by the widest margin of any Republican candidate for the office in 20 years. A final tally has not yet been posted, but Robinson ran significantly behind Trump in votes, an indication that Republican swing voters abandoned him.

    Robinson joins a long line of failed Republican campaigns in what remains a fundamentally conservative state. In the past 32 years, only two Republicans have won the governorship: Pat McCrory, who served from 2013 to 2017, and Jim Martin, who served from 1985 to 1993. The current governor, Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is term limited.

    Read more of the Guardian’s 2024 US election coverage

  • GOP senator from North Dakota faces Democratic challenger making her 2nd US Senate bid

    GOP senator from North Dakota faces Democratic challenger making her 2nd US Senate bid

    BISMARCK, N.D. (AP) — A Republican U.S. senator from North Dakota who wrested the seat away from a Democrat in 2018 is facing a challenge Tuesday from another Democrat making her second Senate run.

    U.S. Sen. Kevin Cramer is confronting Democrat Katrina Christiansen in his bid for reelection in the conservative Great Plains state with a majority of Republican voters.

    A former U.S. House member and public utilities regulator, Cramer, 63, captured the seat from Democrat Heidi Heitkamp in 2018 in one of the most closely watched Senate races that year.

    Christiansen, who ran unsuccessfully against U.S. Sen. John Hoeven in 2022, cast herself as a problem solver and highlighted her rural and impoverished upbringing amid the nation’s farm crisis in challenging Cramer. The 43-year-old opponent has a doctorate in agricultural engineering and had worked as an engineer at an ethanol plant before taking a position as an assistant engineering professor at the University of Jamestown.

    Cramer is a longtime supporter of former President Donald Trump. He’s known for his approachable but blunt manner. He has been a player for decades in state GOP politics, including as a young state party chairman in the early 1990s when Republicans began turning the tables on North Dakota’s then-dominant Democrats.

    Christiansen argued that since heading to Washington, Cramer has lost touch with North Dakota issues. She raised those claims in one television ad featuring rancher Frank Tomac, who supports Trump and says, “When they go to Washington like Kevin Cramer, folks back home suffer.”

    Cramer served in the U.S. House from 2013 to 2019, and on the state’s Public Service Commission from 2003 to 2012. He also has served as state tourism director and economic development and finance director under then-Gov. Ed Schafer.

    Cramer has been campaigning while his son Ian Cramer faces charges in connection with a December 2023 vehicle pursuit and crash that killed a sheriff’s deputy, Paul Martin, in Mercer County northwest of the state capital of Bismarck. Ian Cramer pleaded guilty to all the charges, including a homicide offense, in September and has yet to be sentenced.

  • Trump makes final pitch to North Carolina supporters to get out and vote: ‘It’s ours to lose’

    Trump makes final pitch to North Carolina supporters to get out and vote: ‘It’s ours to lose’

    In a furious final push before Election Day, Donald Trump kicked off four rallies in three states Monday, starting in the battleground of North Carolina. Trump predicted victory, urging his supporters to get out and vote, declaring,”It’s ours to lose.”

    In a furious final push before Election Day, Donald Trump kicked off four rallies in three states Monday, starting in the battleground of North Carolina. Trump predicted victory, urging his supporters to get out and vote, declaring,”It’s ours to lose.”