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  • Overview and Live Results: Arizona Primary

    Overview and Live Results: Arizona Primary

    After a quiet month, the down-ballot primary calendar restarts this week with the Arizona primary on Tuesday. The Tennessee primary follows on Thursday. 

    The remaining 16 states will hold their contests between August 6 and September 10.1

    Arizona Primary

    Polls close at 7:00 PM local time. That’s 10:00 PM Eastern for all but Navajo Nation, which observes Daylight Savings Time. Those polls close at 9:00 PM Eastern.

    On this page, we highlight some of the key races. More Arizona Primary Results >>

    U.S. Senate

    Elected as a Democrat in 2018, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema became an independent in 2022. She subsequently decided not to seek reelection. 

    Rep. Ruben Gallego (AZ-03) is unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

    Republican Primary

    Endorsed by Donald Trump, Former television anchor Kari Lake is favored over Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb. Lake previously ran a high-profile race for governor in 2022, narrowly losing to Democrat Katie Dobbs. 

    A poll released on Monday showed Lake ahead of Lamb by 50% to 38%.

    U.S. House

    District 1 (Democratic)

    Republican David Schweikert is seeking an 8th term. In the state’s most competitive U.S. House race in 2022, Schweikert was reelected by less than a 1% margin.

    Another closely-contested general election is expected this year, with six Democrats vying to take on the incumbent.

    The only other competitive general election seat in the state is in District 6. Rep. Juan Ciscomani is expected to be renominated for a second term. Former state legislator Kirsten Engel is unopposed for the Democrats. This will be a rematch from 2022, when Ciscomani won by about 1.5%.

    District 2 (Republican)

    Rep. Eli Crane is seeking a second term. Crane was one of eight Republicans that voted to oust former Speaker Kevin McCarthy. Supporters of McCarthy are attempting to repay the favor by supporting Crane’s challenger, Jack Smith.

    Crane will probably be renominated, but it is worth keeping an eye on.

    District 3 (Democratic)

    Incumbent Ruben Gallego will be the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate. Three are looking to succeed him; the winner will be heavily favored in November. 

    There are three candidates on the ballot, with the nominee likely to be either Yassamin Ansari, a former Phoenix vice mayor, or former state Sen. Raquel Terán.

    District 8 (Republican)

    Tuesday’s marquee U.S. House primary will select a nominee to succeed Rep. Debbie Lesko, who is retiring from this safely Republican district.

    Most of the attention has been on the bitter rivalry between former prosecutor Abe Hamadeh and venture capitalist Blake Masters. Both lost elections in 2022: Hamadeh for Attorney General and Masters for U.S. Senate.

    Donald Trump endorsed Hamadeh early in the campaign – December of last year. However, in an unusual turn of events, Trump made an updated endorsement this past weekend of both Hamadeh and Masters.

    The last-minute shift may owe to a thaw in the relationship between Trump and billionaire Peter Thiel after Trump’s selection of Sen. JD Vance as his running mate. In addition, Masters worked for Thiel for several years, including as president of his foundation. He resigned during the 2022 Senate campaign, which Thiel helped underwrite.

    Other notables in the race include Arizona House Speaker Ben Toma and former Rep. Trent Franks, who held this seat prior to Lesko. Franks resigned in 2017, and is attempting a comeback. It isn’t completely off the table that Trump’s dual endorsement splits the vote enough to bring one of these others into contention. 

    Maricopa County Elections

    Recorder (Republican)

    Arizona became a hotbed of election denialism after the 2020 presidential election. While conspiracy theorists have not yet had much general election success here, those efforts continue.

    That ongoing conflict has created an unusually high profile GOP primary for Maricopa County Recorder.

    Among other things, this office oversees elections. The incumbent, Stephen Richer, took office in 2021 and has been a defender of the integrity of the County’s elections. That has brought him criticism and harassment, as well as two challengers in Tuesday’s primary. 

    Maricopa County, which includes the Phoenix area, is home to more than 60% of the state’s population.

    Mayoral Primaries

    Four Arizona cities among the nation’s top 100 by population hold mayoral elections. These contests will either be resolved Tuesday or in a top-two runoff on November 5. Live Results>>

    Upcoming Elections and Events

    Down-ballot primaries will continue through early September. The remaining ones are listed below, along with other contests we’ll be tracking during that period.

    • August 1

    • August 6

      • Kansas Primary

      • Michigan Primary

      • Missouri Primary

      • Washington Top-Two Primary

    • August 10

      • Hawaii Primary

      • Hawaii State Senate District 5 (Special Primary)

      • Honolulu Mayor (Primary)

    • August 13

      • Connecticut Primary

      • Minnesota Primary

      • Vermont Primary

      • Wisconsin Primary

      • Wisconsin U.S. House District 8 Special Primary

      • Minnesota State Senate District 45 Special Primary

    • August 19-22

      • Democratic National Convention

    • August 20

      • Alaska Top-Four Primary

      • Florida Primary

      • Wyoming Primary

    • August 27

    • September 3

    • September 10

      • Delaware Primary

      • New Hampshire Primary

      • Rhode Island Primary

  • Overview and Live Results: Tennessee Primary

    Overview and Live Results: Tennessee Primary

    By 270toWin Staff

    August 1, 2024, 10:52 AM ET

    Tennessee holds its primary Thursday, giving us a second primary day this week. The Arizona primary was Tuesday; two of the more interesting contests there remain uncalled as of the publication time of this article.

    The remaining 16 states will hold their contests between next Tuesday and September 10.1

    Tennessee Primary

    Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern Time. The state is divided between the Eastern and Central Time Zones. As all polling places close simultaneously, locations observing Central Time close at 7:00 PM local time.

    The most interesting contests look to be the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, and the GOP nomination fight in the 5th congressional district. All Tennessee Primary Results >>

    U.S. Senate

    Republican Primary

    Republican Sen. Marsha Blackburn is seeking a second term. She has a nominal primary challenge. 

    Democratic Primary

    Winning a second term in 1990, former Vice President Al Gore was the last Democrat elected to the U.S. Senate from Tennessee. Despite long odds for that to change this year, a field of four Democrats is vying to challenge Blackburn.

    The frontrunner is state Rep. Gloria Johnson, who gained a national profile as a member of the “Tennessee Three” after a 2023 school shooting in Nashville.

    Also on the ballot is Marquita Bradshaw, who was the party’s nominee in 2020, losing to Republican Bill Hagerty.

    U.S. House

    District 5 (Republican)

    Republicans flipped this district in 2022 after it was moved significantly to the right in post-Census redistricting. Andy Ogles emerged from a nine-candidate primary, and won the general election by a 14% margin.

    Ogles largest hurdle to reelection may well be this primary. He has drawn an unexpectedly strong challenger in Nashville Metro Council member Courtney Johnston. She has outraised Ogles, who, for his part, has come under scrutiny for his campaign finances. 

    Upcoming Elections and Events

    Down-ballot primaries will continue through early September. The remaining ones are listed below, along with other contests we’ll be tracking during that period.

    • August 6

      • Kansas Primary

      • Michigan Primary

      • Missouri Primary

      • Washington Top-Two Primary

    • August 10

      • Hawaii Primary

      • Hawaii State Senate District 5 (Special Primary)

      • Honolulu Mayor (Primary)

    • August 13

      • Connecticut Primary

      • Minnesota Primary

      • Vermont Primary

      • Wisconsin Primary

      • Wisconsin U.S. House District 8 Special Primary

      • Minnesota State Senate District 45 Special Primary

    • August 19-22

      • Democratic National Convention

    • August 20

      • Alaska Top-Four Primary

      • Florida Primary

      • Wyoming Primary

    • August 27

    • September 3

    • September 10

      • Delaware Primary

      • New Hampshire Primary

      • Rhode Island Primary

  • Overview and Live Results: Hawaii Primary

    Overview and Live Results: Hawaii Primary

    Saturday concludes the Hawaii primary, which has been conducted largely by mail.

    Election Day Voter Service Centers are open until 7:00 PM local time, which is also the deadline for all ballots to be received. As the state does not observe Daylight Saving Time, that’s 1:00 AM Eastern Time on Sunday.

    We’ve highlighted a few races on this page. Full Hawaii Results >>

    U.S. Senate

    Democrat Sen. Mazie Hirono is running for a third term. She has drawn two minor challengers, including Ron Curtis, who previously ran for office as a Republican. Curtis was Hirono’s opponent in 2018, and the 2020 nominee in the first congressional district. 

    Six are seeking the GOP nomination. The most notable is former state Rep. Bob McDermott, who was the party’s nominee for the state’s other Senate seat in 2022. He lost by a 71% to 26% margin to Sen. Brian Schatz.

    Whoever advances from this primary will likely not fare much better against the incumbent in November.

    U.S. House

    Democratic Reps. Ed Case (HI-01) and Jill Tokuda (HI-02) should cruise to reelection in November. The GOP primaries in both districts are uncontested.

    Case faces a nominal primary challenge. 

    State Legislature

    Democrats hold overwhelming control of both branches. In the State Senate, there are 23 Democrats and two Republicans. Twelve of the seats are up for election this year.

    In the State House of Representatives, Democrats have a 44-6 advantage. There is one vacancy. All 51 seats are up this year.

    All State Legislative Primaries >>

    State House District 25 (Democratic)

    House Speaker Scott Saiki faces a challenge from community activist Kim Coco Iwamoto. This is the third time the two have faced off in a primary. Saiki narrowly won both times.

    The Honolulu Civil Beat details the importance of this primary. They note that “More than any other local contest this season, [this primary race] has the potential to redistribute political power in Hawaii and redirect the Legislature.”  

    Politically, Iwamoto is challenging Saiki from the left.

    Honolulu Mayor

    Honolulu is the nation’s 55th largest city – based on 2023 Census Bureau estimates – with a population of about 342,000.

    Independent Mayor Rick Biangiardi is seeking a second four-year term. He has drawn three challengers on the nonpartisan ballot, but is expected to be reelected. If Biangiardi doesn’t get a majority, there will be a top-two runoff coinciding with the November 5 general election.

    Upcoming Elections and Events

    • August 13

      • Connecticut Primary

      • Minnesota Primary

      • Vermont Primary

      • Wisconsin Primary

      • Wisconsin U.S. House District 8 Special Primary

      • Minnesota State Senate District 45 Special Primary

    • August 19-22

      • Democratic National Convention

    • August 20

      • Alaska Top-Four Primary

      • Florida Primary

      • Wyoming Primary

    • August 27

    • September 3

    • September 10

      • Presidential Debate (ABC)

      • Delaware Primary

      • New Hampshire Primary

      • Rhode Island Primary

    • November 5

      • 2024 Presidential Election

      • 2024 General Election

  • Overview and Live Results: Florida, Alaska, and Wyoming primaries

    Overview and Live Results: Florida, Alaska, and Wyoming primaries

    It’s primary Tuesday in Florida, the nation’s third most populous state. Voters will also go to the polls in two of the three least-populated states: Alaska and Wyoming. 

    Alaska has a unique system where all candidates appear on a single ballot and the top four finishers advance. The general election is then decided by ranked choice voting.

    Use the links below for full results. Displayed are the poll closings converted to Eastern Time.

    * A small part of the state (<1%) closes at 1:00 AM Eastern. | + 7:00 PM local time; portions of the Panhandle observe Central Time.

    On this page, we’ll highlight some of the key races to watch, organized by office.

    U.S. Senate

    Florida and Wyoming have Senate elections this year. 

    Florida

    Republican Sen. Rick Scott is seeking a second term. He is expected to win renomination.

    There are four candidates vying for the Democratic nomination. The frontrunner is former Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (FL-26).

    It is a difficult Senate map for Democrats this year. The party is all but certain to lose West Virginia with the retirement of Joe Manchin. If there are no other incumbent party losses, and Donald Trump wins the election, Republicans will gain control of the chamber.

    Even if Trump loses, Democrats need to run the table to hold competitive seats in Arizona, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin. That is, unless they can gain a seat.

    Florida and Texas are the only realistic Democratic pick-ups and both are considered long-shots at this point. That said – and bringing it back to Florida – Scott is unpopular and only led by four in the two most recent polls. Additionally, the presidential race has tightened in the state since Harris replaced Biden at the top of the ticket.   

    Wyoming

    Republican Sen. John Barrasso is seeking a third term, which he should have no trouble securing in one of the deepest of red states. He faces minor primary challengers. Scott Morrow is unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

    U.S. House

    Alaska At-Large

    Democrat Mary Peltola flipped this seat in a 2022 special election held after the death of Republican Don Young. She won the regular election in November of that year, and is now seeking a second full term.

    Peltola benefited from the top four primary as well as ranked choice voting in the general election. Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III advanced to the general election, where they split the GOP vote.

    This year, there are twelve candidates on the ballot. Peltola, Begich, and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (R) are expected to advance, along with whoever finishes in fourth place.

    To avoid a repeat of 2022, Begich has said he would end his campaign if he finished third. However, Dahlstrom has not taken a similar pledge.

    Florida

    Redistricting after the 2020 Census largely eliminated highly competitive general election districts in Florida. All but one incumbent is seeking reelection.

    District 1 (Republican)

    This district is in the Central Time Zone; results available after 8:00 PM Eastern.

    Republican Rep. Matt Gaetz is seeking a 5th term in this deep-red Panhandle district. Gaetz led the successful charge to oust former Speaker Kevin McCarthy. A PAC connected to McCarthy is attempting to return the favor. They’ve spent millions in support of Navy veteran Aaron Dimmock.

    Despite this effort, and ongoing ethical issues, the incumbent is likely to prevail. 

    District 8 (Republican)

    Republican Bill Posey is retiring. His decision came on the final day of filing, all but ensuring his hand-picked successor, former state Sen. president Mike Haridopolos would face little competition for the nomination. This is a safely Republican district – Posey won his last term by 30% – so Haridopolos will almost certainly be the next representative.

    District 13 (Democratic)

    Freshman Republican Anna Paulina Luna is seeking reelection; she is unopposed for the nomination. Five Democrats are on the ballot looking to challenge her. The frontrunner appears to be Whitney Fox, who is the communications director at the Pinellas Suncoast Transit Authority.

    Luna won by 8% in 2022. Now with the power of incumbency, most forecasters rate the general election as Likely Republican.

    District 15 (Republican)

    Rep. Laurel Lee is seeking a second term, which she is likely to win in this Republican-leaning district. We’re listing the primary here only because of an odd backstory. Last March, Donald Trump called for someone to challenge Lee. The former president did not explicitly specify a reason, although Lee had endorsed Gov. Ron DeSantis in the presidential race. 

    After no major candidate entered the race, Trump eventually came around and endorsed the incumbent.

    District 23 (Republican)

    Democrat Jared Moskowitz is seeking a second term. He is unopposed for renomination. Six Republicans are vying to challenge him. Despite Moskowitz’s surprisingly narrow win (5%) in 2022, most forecasters see the general election as Likely or Safe Democratic.

    District 27 (Democratic)

    Republican Maria Elvira Salazar is seeking a third term. This district has moved to the right: Salazar flipped it by three percent in 2020 and won reelection by 15 percent in 2022.

    Like District 23, it is on the far edge of the competitive map; most forecasters see it as Likely or Safe Republican.

    Two Democrats are vying to take on the incumbent.

    Upcoming Elections and Events

    • August 27

    • September 3

    • September 10

      • Presidential Debate (ABC)

      • Delaware Primary

      • New Hampshire Primary

      • Rhode Island Primary

    • September 17

      • Pennsylvania State House Districts 195 and 201 Special Election

    • September 18

      • New Jersey U.S. House District 10 Special Election

    • October 1

      • Vice-Presidential Debate (CBS)

    • November 5

      • 2024 Presidential Election

      • 2024 General Election

  • Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary

    Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary

    By 270toWin Staff

    September 3, 2024, 11:39 AM ET

    Massachusetts has the primary calendar to itself on Tuesday. Next week, the final primaries before the November 5 general election will take place in Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island.

    Massachusetts Primary

    Per the Associated Press, “Democrats have a lock on the Bay State’s congressional delegation, with both U.S. Senate seats and all nine U.S. House seats firmly in their column. They also hold lopsided supermajorities in both chambers of the state legislature, where all seats are up for election in November.”

    On this page, we’ve included the only two contested congressional primaries. Visit All Massachusetts Results if you are looking for primary results for the state legislature.

    Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern Time.

    U.S. Senate

    Democratic Sen. Elizabeth Warren is seeking a 3rd term; she is unopposed for renomination.

    There are three Republicans vying to take her on in the general election. The nominee will have an uphill battle in this deep blue state.

    U.S. House

    All nine Democratic incumbents are seeking reelection. None of them has drawn a primary challenge.

    The only contested primary is in District 8, where three Republicans are looking to take on Rep. Stephen Lynch. This includes videographer Robert Burke, the 2022 nominee. He lost by a 70% to 30% margin to Lynch that year. 

    No Republicans are running in Districts 1 through 7. The Democratic incumbents there join the Uncontested Seats list. In these 36 districts, only one major party is on the November ballot.

    Upcoming Elections and Events

    • September 10

      • Presidential Debate (ABC)

      • Delaware Primary

      • New Hampshire Primary

      • Rhode Island Primary

    • September 17

      • Pennsylvania State House Districts 195 and 201 Special Election

    • September 18

      • New Jersey U.S. House District 10 Special Election

    • October 1

      • Vice-Presidential Debate (CBS)

    • November 5

      • 2024 Presidential Election

      • 2024 General Election

  • Overview and Live Results: Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island Primaries

    Overview and Live Results: Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island Primaries

    The only currently-scheduled presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump takes place Tuesday in Philadelphia. It will be moderated by ABC News and begins at 9:00 PM Eastern Time.

    Coincidentally, the debate begins shortly after voting ends in the final three statewide primaries before the November general election. 

    Polls close at 8:00 PM in Delaware and Rhode Island. In New Hampshire, the final polls also close at 8:00 PM. However, many locations close at 7:00 PM. All times are Eastern.

    Use the links below for full results. 

     

    On this page, we’ll highlight some of the key races to watch, organized by office. 

    Governor

    Incumbents in Delaware and New Hampshire are both retiring. While Democrats are expected to hold Delaware, the New Hampshire general election is seen as highly competitive.  

    New Hampshire

    New Hampshire is one of two states (neighboring Vermont is the other) where governors serve a two year term. Republican Gov. Chris Sununu is retiring after four terms.

    Six candidates are competing for the Republican nomination. Former U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte and former state Senate president Chuck Morse are the most prominent candidates. Ayotte has Sununu’s endorsement, a substantial lead in limited polling, and is also well ahead in fundraising.

    For the Democrats, there are three candidates seeking the chance to flip this seat in November. The nominee will likely be either Joyce Craig or Cinde Warmington. Craig is the former mayor of Manchester, while Warmington is a member of the New Hampshire Executive Council.

    Averaging two public polls from mid-August, Craig led by a 38% to 29% margin. However, over 20% remained undecided in each survey.

    This race has turned more contentious in the closing weeks of the campaign. 

    Delaware

    Democratic Gov. John Carney is completing his second term. He is ineligible to run due to term limit laws. 

    The Democratic nominee will be heavily favored in November. There is a three-way competitive primary between Lt. Gov. Bethany Hall-Long, New Castle County Executive Matt Meyer, and National Wildlife Federation president Collin O’Mara.

    Carney has endorsed Hall-Long, who has come under fire for campaign finance irregularities. She also trails her two opponents in fundraising.

    There are three candidates vying for the GOP nomination. Mike Ramone, the Minority Leader in the State House, is expected to advance.

    U.S. Senate

    Delaware and Rhode Island have Senate elections this year.  Both are seen as safe for Democrats in November.

    Delaware

    Democratic Sen. Tom Carper is retiring after four terms in office. Only one candidate qualified from each party. As such, the respective primaries were cancelled.

    The state’s At-large U.S. House Representative, Lisa Blunt Rochester will be the Democratic nominee. Businessman Eric Hansen will represent the Republicans. 

    Rhode Island

    Democratic Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse is running for a fourth term. He faces a minor primary challenge. State Rep. Patricia Morgan and IT professional Raymond McKay will contest for the GOP nomination.  

    U.S. House

    Delaware At-large

    Three Democrats are looking to succeed Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester, who is the party’s nominee for U.S. Senate. The frontrunner is state Sen. Sarah McBride.

    Assuming she advances, McBride will be heavily favored over the Republican nominee in November. 

    New Hampshire District 1

    Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas is seeking a fourth term. He faces a nominal primary challenge.

    Seven Republicans are on the GOP primary ballot. Four of them participated in a debate last week; one of them is likely to be the nominee. Reviewing two polls released last month, no candidate averaged more than 15%, and 60% of voters were undecided. It is fair to say this primary is wide open.

    While this is the more competitive of the state’s two districts, Pappas will start out as a general election favorite. 

    New Hampshire District 2

    Democratic Rep. Ann Kuster is retiring after six terms. Both primaries are competitive.

    The Democratic primary is a one-on-one contest between Colin Von Ostern, a former member of the New Hampshire Executive Council and Maggie Goodlander, a former Deputy Assistant Attorney General in the Department of Justice.

    The nominee will be favored in November.

    A much larger field of 13 Republicans is seeking the party’s nomination. Three of them were chosen to participate in a recent debate.

    Rhode Island

    There are no contested primaries in either of the state’s two districts.

    Upcoming Elections and Events

    • September 17

      • Pennsylvania State House Districts 195 and 201 Special Election

    • September 18

      • New Jersey U.S. House District 10 Special Election

    • October 1

      • Vice-Presidential Debate (CBS)

    • November 5

      • 2024 Presidential Election

      • 2024 General Election

  • Overview and Live Results: New Jersey Congressional Special Election

    Overview and Live Results: New Jersey Congressional Special Election

    By 270toWin Staff

    September 18, 2024, 11:05 AM ET

    One of four U.S. House vacancies will be filled Wednesday by voters in New Jersey’s 10th congressional district. The winner will complete the term of Democrat Donald Payne Jr., who died in April.

    As the New Jersey Globe reports, “Democrats nominated LaMonica R. McIver, a two-term Newark city councilwoman, in a special primary election on July 16. She faces Republican Carmen Bucco, a Kenilworth businessman, and two independent candidates, Rayfield Morton and Russell Jenkins.”

    Payne was reelected in 2022 by a 78% to 20% margin over his Republican challenger in this deep blue Newark-area district. Republicans last won the 10th district in 1946.

    Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern.

    Payne’s death came after the filing deadline for the statewide June 4 primary. He was unopposed on that ballot, and thus posthumously renominated. Democratic officials in the affected counties chose McIver to replace Payne on the November ballot shortly after her special primary win. Bucco will again be her major party opposition.

    House Vacancies

    Republicans currently hold a 220-211 partisan edge over Democrats in the U.S. House, likely to move to 220-212 after Wednesday’s special election.

    Two of the other three vacancies will be filled in November 5 special elections, held concurrently with the general election. Winners will serve during the lame-duck session of Congress.

    The incumbent party is expected to hold these seats, with Democrats favored in TX-18, Republicans in WI-08. Assuming no other vacancies, the House will complete this term with a 221-213 Republican margin.

    The final vacancy, in NJ-09 will not be filled this term. Democratic Rep. Bill Pascrell, Jr. died last month.