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الوسم: Primary

  • Live Results: New Jersey 10th Congressional District Special Primary

    Live Results: New Jersey 10th Congressional District Special Primary

    By 270toWin Staff

    July 16, 2024, 1:43 PM ET

    The death of Democratic Rep. Donald Payne Jr. in April created a vacancy in New Jersey’s 10th congressional district. Party nominees will be chosen Tuesday, with a special general election on September 18.

    The winner of the special election will serve through the end of the year.

    Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern.

    Democratic Primary

    Democrats outnumber Republicans 6 to 1 in this Newark-area district; Payne won his final term by a 78% to 20% margin in 2022. As such, this primary has drawn a lot of interest. 

    Eleven Democrats are on the ballot. Most of the party establishment is behind Newark City Council president LaMonica McIver.

    Other notables include “Hudson County Commissioner Jerry Walker (D-Jersey City), former East Orange Councilwoman Brittany Claybrooks, Linden Mayor Derek Armstead, and state economic development official Darryl Godfrey.”

    In a related note, Payne’s death occurred after ballots were printed for the state’s regular June primary. Payne was unopposed, and was posthumously renominated for the November general election.

    Party officials in the affected counties (Essex, Hudson, Union) will choose a ballot replacement at a convention this Thursday. It could be the same person that wins Tuesday’s primary, although it is not required to be.

    Republican Primary

    Businessman Carmen Bucco is unopposed for the Republicans. He also had no opposition in the June primary, so will be on the ballot again in November.

    Upcoming Elections and Events

    Down-ballot primaries will continue through early September. The remaining ones are listed below, along with other contests we’ll be tracking during that period.

    • July 15-18

      • Republican National Convention

    • July 30

      • Arizona Primary

        • Includes mayoral primaries in Gilbert, Glendale, Mesa, and Scottsdale

      • Wisconsin State Senate District 4 Special General

    • August 1

    • August 6

      • Kansas Primary

      • Michigan Primary

      • Missouri Primary

      • Washington Top-Two Primary

    • August 10

      • Hawaii Primary

      • Hawaii State Senate District 5 (Special Primary)

      • Honolulu Mayor (Primary)

    • August 13

      • Connecticut Primary

      • Minnesota Primary

      • Vermont Primary

      • Wisconsin Primary

      • Wisconsin U.S. House District 8 Special Primary

      • Minnesota State Senate District 45 Special Primary

    • August 19-22

      • Democratic National Convention

    • August 20

      • Alaska Top-Four Primary

      • Florida Primary

      • Wyoming Primary

    • August 27

    • September 3

    • September 10

      • Delaware Primary

      • New Hampshire Primary

      • Rhode Island Primary

  • Overview and Live Results: Arizona Primary

    Overview and Live Results: Arizona Primary

    After a quiet month, the down-ballot primary calendar restarts this week with the Arizona primary on Tuesday. The Tennessee primary follows on Thursday. 

    The remaining 16 states will hold their contests between August 6 and September 10.1

    Arizona Primary

    Polls close at 7:00 PM local time. That’s 10:00 PM Eastern for all but Navajo Nation, which observes Daylight Savings Time. Those polls close at 9:00 PM Eastern.

    On this page, we highlight some of the key races. More Arizona Primary Results >>

    U.S. Senate

    Elected as a Democrat in 2018, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema became an independent in 2022. She subsequently decided not to seek reelection. 

    Rep. Ruben Gallego (AZ-03) is unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

    Republican Primary

    Endorsed by Donald Trump, Former television anchor Kari Lake is favored over Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb. Lake previously ran a high-profile race for governor in 2022, narrowly losing to Democrat Katie Dobbs. 

    A poll released on Monday showed Lake ahead of Lamb by 50% to 38%.

    U.S. House

    District 1 (Democratic)

    Republican David Schweikert is seeking an 8th term. In the state’s most competitive U.S. House race in 2022, Schweikert was reelected by less than a 1% margin.

    Another closely-contested general election is expected this year, with six Democrats vying to take on the incumbent.

    The only other competitive general election seat in the state is in District 6. Rep. Juan Ciscomani is expected to be renominated for a second term. Former state legislator Kirsten Engel is unopposed for the Democrats. This will be a rematch from 2022, when Ciscomani won by about 1.5%.

    District 2 (Republican)

    Rep. Eli Crane is seeking a second term. Crane was one of eight Republicans that voted to oust former Speaker Kevin McCarthy. Supporters of McCarthy are attempting to repay the favor by supporting Crane’s challenger, Jack Smith.

    Crane will probably be renominated, but it is worth keeping an eye on.

    District 3 (Democratic)

    Incumbent Ruben Gallego will be the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate. Three are looking to succeed him; the winner will be heavily favored in November. 

    There are three candidates on the ballot, with the nominee likely to be either Yassamin Ansari, a former Phoenix vice mayor, or former state Sen. Raquel Terán.

    District 8 (Republican)

    Tuesday’s marquee U.S. House primary will select a nominee to succeed Rep. Debbie Lesko, who is retiring from this safely Republican district.

    Most of the attention has been on the bitter rivalry between former prosecutor Abe Hamadeh and venture capitalist Blake Masters. Both lost elections in 2022: Hamadeh for Attorney General and Masters for U.S. Senate.

    Donald Trump endorsed Hamadeh early in the campaign – December of last year. However, in an unusual turn of events, Trump made an updated endorsement this past weekend of both Hamadeh and Masters.

    The last-minute shift may owe to a thaw in the relationship between Trump and billionaire Peter Thiel after Trump’s selection of Sen. JD Vance as his running mate. In addition, Masters worked for Thiel for several years, including as president of his foundation. He resigned during the 2022 Senate campaign, which Thiel helped underwrite.

    Other notables in the race include Arizona House Speaker Ben Toma and former Rep. Trent Franks, who held this seat prior to Lesko. Franks resigned in 2017, and is attempting a comeback. It isn’t completely off the table that Trump’s dual endorsement splits the vote enough to bring one of these others into contention. 

    Maricopa County Elections

    Recorder (Republican)

    Arizona became a hotbed of election denialism after the 2020 presidential election. While conspiracy theorists have not yet had much general election success here, those efforts continue.

    That ongoing conflict has created an unusually high profile GOP primary for Maricopa County Recorder.

    Among other things, this office oversees elections. The incumbent, Stephen Richer, took office in 2021 and has been a defender of the integrity of the County’s elections. That has brought him criticism and harassment, as well as two challengers in Tuesday’s primary. 

    Maricopa County, which includes the Phoenix area, is home to more than 60% of the state’s population.

    Mayoral Primaries

    Four Arizona cities among the nation’s top 100 by population hold mayoral elections. These contests will either be resolved Tuesday or in a top-two runoff on November 5. Live Results>>

    Upcoming Elections and Events

    Down-ballot primaries will continue through early September. The remaining ones are listed below, along with other contests we’ll be tracking during that period.

    • August 1

    • August 6

      • Kansas Primary

      • Michigan Primary

      • Missouri Primary

      • Washington Top-Two Primary

    • August 10

      • Hawaii Primary

      • Hawaii State Senate District 5 (Special Primary)

      • Honolulu Mayor (Primary)

    • August 13

      • Connecticut Primary

      • Minnesota Primary

      • Vermont Primary

      • Wisconsin Primary

      • Wisconsin U.S. House District 8 Special Primary

      • Minnesota State Senate District 45 Special Primary

    • August 19-22

      • Democratic National Convention

    • August 20

      • Alaska Top-Four Primary

      • Florida Primary

      • Wyoming Primary

    • August 27

    • September 3

    • September 10

      • Delaware Primary

      • New Hampshire Primary

      • Rhode Island Primary

  • Overview and Live Results: Tennessee Primary

    Overview and Live Results: Tennessee Primary

    By 270toWin Staff

    August 1, 2024, 10:52 AM ET

    Tennessee holds its primary Thursday, giving us a second primary day this week. The Arizona primary was Tuesday; two of the more interesting contests there remain uncalled as of the publication time of this article.

    The remaining 16 states will hold their contests between next Tuesday and September 10.1

    Tennessee Primary

    Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern Time. The state is divided between the Eastern and Central Time Zones. As all polling places close simultaneously, locations observing Central Time close at 7:00 PM local time.

    The most interesting contests look to be the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, and the GOP nomination fight in the 5th congressional district. All Tennessee Primary Results >>

    U.S. Senate

    Republican Primary

    Republican Sen. Marsha Blackburn is seeking a second term. She has a nominal primary challenge. 

    Democratic Primary

    Winning a second term in 1990, former Vice President Al Gore was the last Democrat elected to the U.S. Senate from Tennessee. Despite long odds for that to change this year, a field of four Democrats is vying to challenge Blackburn.

    The frontrunner is state Rep. Gloria Johnson, who gained a national profile as a member of the “Tennessee Three” after a 2023 school shooting in Nashville.

    Also on the ballot is Marquita Bradshaw, who was the party’s nominee in 2020, losing to Republican Bill Hagerty.

    U.S. House

    District 5 (Republican)

    Republicans flipped this district in 2022 after it was moved significantly to the right in post-Census redistricting. Andy Ogles emerged from a nine-candidate primary, and won the general election by a 14% margin.

    Ogles largest hurdle to reelection may well be this primary. He has drawn an unexpectedly strong challenger in Nashville Metro Council member Courtney Johnston. She has outraised Ogles, who, for his part, has come under scrutiny for his campaign finances. 

    Upcoming Elections and Events

    Down-ballot primaries will continue through early September. The remaining ones are listed below, along with other contests we’ll be tracking during that period.

    • August 6

      • Kansas Primary

      • Michigan Primary

      • Missouri Primary

      • Washington Top-Two Primary

    • August 10

      • Hawaii Primary

      • Hawaii State Senate District 5 (Special Primary)

      • Honolulu Mayor (Primary)

    • August 13

      • Connecticut Primary

      • Minnesota Primary

      • Vermont Primary

      • Wisconsin Primary

      • Wisconsin U.S. House District 8 Special Primary

      • Minnesota State Senate District 45 Special Primary

    • August 19-22

      • Democratic National Convention

    • August 20

      • Alaska Top-Four Primary

      • Florida Primary

      • Wyoming Primary

    • August 27

    • September 3

    • September 10

      • Delaware Primary

      • New Hampshire Primary

      • Rhode Island Primary

  • Recount Confirms Primary Loss for Virginia Rep. Bob Good

    Recount Confirms Primary Loss for Virginia Rep. Bob Good

    By 270toWin Staff

    August 2, 2024, 7:10 AM ET

    A recount Thursday confirmed that state Sen. John McGuire defeated Rep. Bob Good (VA-05) in Virginia’s June 18 primary. The final margin – 370 votes – was a reduction of only four from the state-certified result announced last month. 

    Good, in his 2nd term, headed the House Freedom Caucus. He didn’t make too many friends during that short tenure. Per Politico, “His determination to block part of the GOP’s legislative agenda by any means necessary made him unpopular with his colleagues. He endorsed Ron DeSantis’ presidential bid even before the Florida governor had entered the race against Trump. Months later, he joined with seven other members last fall to defenestrate former Speaker Kevin McCarthy. And then he needlessly inserted himself into the primaries of his Republican colleagues, spurring personal grievances that compelled them to return the favor.”

    McGuire will face Democrat Gloria Witt in the general election and is favored to be the next representative from this district in the south central part of the state.

    Good becomes the third incumbent to lose this cycle. In Alabama, Jerry Carl (R, AL-01) lost a member vs. member primary forced by redistricting. In New York, Rep. Jamaal Bowman (D, NY-16) lost in a June primary.

    The list could grow after the Missouri primary next Tuesday. At the opposite end of the political spectrum from Good, ‘Squad’ member Cori Bush is being challenged by St. Louis County Prosecutor Wesley Bell. The same pro-Israel forces that contributed to Bowman’s defeat are working against Bush.

  • Overview and Live Results: Hawaii Primary

    Overview and Live Results: Hawaii Primary

    Saturday concludes the Hawaii primary, which has been conducted largely by mail.

    Election Day Voter Service Centers are open until 7:00 PM local time, which is also the deadline for all ballots to be received. As the state does not observe Daylight Saving Time, that’s 1:00 AM Eastern Time on Sunday.

    We’ve highlighted a few races on this page. Full Hawaii Results >>

    U.S. Senate

    Democrat Sen. Mazie Hirono is running for a third term. She has drawn two minor challengers, including Ron Curtis, who previously ran for office as a Republican. Curtis was Hirono’s opponent in 2018, and the 2020 nominee in the first congressional district. 

    Six are seeking the GOP nomination. The most notable is former state Rep. Bob McDermott, who was the party’s nominee for the state’s other Senate seat in 2022. He lost by a 71% to 26% margin to Sen. Brian Schatz.

    Whoever advances from this primary will likely not fare much better against the incumbent in November.

    U.S. House

    Democratic Reps. Ed Case (HI-01) and Jill Tokuda (HI-02) should cruise to reelection in November. The GOP primaries in both districts are uncontested.

    Case faces a nominal primary challenge. 

    State Legislature

    Democrats hold overwhelming control of both branches. In the State Senate, there are 23 Democrats and two Republicans. Twelve of the seats are up for election this year.

    In the State House of Representatives, Democrats have a 44-6 advantage. There is one vacancy. All 51 seats are up this year.

    All State Legislative Primaries >>

    State House District 25 (Democratic)

    House Speaker Scott Saiki faces a challenge from community activist Kim Coco Iwamoto. This is the third time the two have faced off in a primary. Saiki narrowly won both times.

    The Honolulu Civil Beat details the importance of this primary. They note that “More than any other local contest this season, [this primary race] has the potential to redistribute political power in Hawaii and redirect the Legislature.”  

    Politically, Iwamoto is challenging Saiki from the left.

    Honolulu Mayor

    Honolulu is the nation’s 55th largest city – based on 2023 Census Bureau estimates – with a population of about 342,000.

    Independent Mayor Rick Biangiardi is seeking a second four-year term. He has drawn three challengers on the nonpartisan ballot, but is expected to be reelected. If Biangiardi doesn’t get a majority, there will be a top-two runoff coinciding with the November 5 general election.

    Upcoming Elections and Events

    • August 13

      • Connecticut Primary

      • Minnesota Primary

      • Vermont Primary

      • Wisconsin Primary

      • Wisconsin U.S. House District 8 Special Primary

      • Minnesota State Senate District 45 Special Primary

    • August 19-22

      • Democratic National Convention

    • August 20

      • Alaska Top-Four Primary

      • Florida Primary

      • Wyoming Primary

    • August 27

    • September 3

    • September 10

      • Presidential Debate (ABC)

      • Delaware Primary

      • New Hampshire Primary

      • Rhode Island Primary

    • November 5

      • 2024 Presidential Election

      • 2024 General Election

  • Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary

    Overview and Live Results: Massachusetts Primary

    By 270toWin Staff

    September 3, 2024, 11:39 AM ET

    Massachusetts has the primary calendar to itself on Tuesday. Next week, the final primaries before the November 5 general election will take place in Delaware, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island.

    Massachusetts Primary

    Per the Associated Press, “Democrats have a lock on the Bay State’s congressional delegation, with both U.S. Senate seats and all nine U.S. House seats firmly in their column. They also hold lopsided supermajorities in both chambers of the state legislature, where all seats are up for election in November.”

    On this page, we’ve included the only two contested congressional primaries. Visit All Massachusetts Results if you are looking for primary results for the state legislature.

    Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern Time.

    U.S. Senate

    Democratic Sen. Elizabeth Warren is seeking a 3rd term; she is unopposed for renomination.

    There are three Republicans vying to take her on in the general election. The nominee will have an uphill battle in this deep blue state.

    U.S. House

    All nine Democratic incumbents are seeking reelection. None of them has drawn a primary challenge.

    The only contested primary is in District 8, where three Republicans are looking to take on Rep. Stephen Lynch. This includes videographer Robert Burke, the 2022 nominee. He lost by a 70% to 30% margin to Lynch that year. 

    No Republicans are running in Districts 1 through 7. The Democratic incumbents there join the Uncontested Seats list. In these 36 districts, only one major party is on the November ballot.

    Upcoming Elections and Events

    • September 10

      • Presidential Debate (ABC)

      • Delaware Primary

      • New Hampshire Primary

      • Rhode Island Primary

    • September 17

      • Pennsylvania State House Districts 195 and 201 Special Election

    • September 18

      • New Jersey U.S. House District 10 Special Election

    • October 1

      • Vice-Presidential Debate (CBS)

    • November 5

      • 2024 Presidential Election

      • 2024 General Election