الوسم: Results

  • US election: The day after – What results say; what Harris, Trump are up to

    US election: The day after – What results say; what Harris, Trump are up to

    It’s too close to call, but Trump’s wins in Georgia and North Carolina give him more pathways to success than Harris.
  • US Senate, House and governor elections 2024: results from all 50 states as Republicans win Senate | US elections 2024

    Senate

    No electionNo electionNo electionNo election

     

    *includes independents

    27/34 races called

    First results expected after 18.00 EST (15.00 PST or 23.00 GMT)

    No electionNo electionNo electionNo election

     

    *includes independents

    27/34 races called

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    How does the US election work?

    The US legislature, Congress, has two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate.

    How is the House of Representatives elected and how does it work?

    The lower chamber, the House of Representatives, has 435 voting seats, each representing a district of roughly similar size. There are elections for each of these seats every two years.

    The speaker of the House is the chamber’s presiding officer, elected by the representatives. The House has several exclusive powers, such as the power to initiate revenue bills, impeach federal officials and elect the president in the case of an electoral college tie.

    How is the Senate elected and how does it work?

    The upper chamber, the Senate, has 100 members, who sit for six-year terms. One-third of the seats come up for election in each two-year cycle. Each state has two senators, regardless of its population; this means that Wyoming, with a population of less than 600,000, carries the same weight as California, with almost 40 million.

    In most states, the candidate with the most votes on election day wins the seat. However, Georgia and Louisiana require the winning candidate to garner 50% of votes cast; if no one does, they hold a run-off election between the top two candidates.

    Most legislation needs to pass both chambers to become law, but the Senate has some important other functions, notably approving senior presidential appointments, for instance to the supreme court. The Senate also has the sole power to provide advice to the president, consent to ratify treaties and try impeachment cases for federal officials referred to it by the House.

    How are governors elected and how do they work?

    Governors are elected by direct vote in their states. The candidate with the highest number of votes is declared the winner.

    In every state, the executive branch is led by a governor. They serve for four years in office, with the exception of Vermont and New Hampshire where tenures are two years long.

    Governors are responsible for implementing state laws, and have a range of powers available to them such as executive orders, executive budgets and legislative proposals and vetoes.

    How are the results reported?

    The election results on this page are reported by the Associated Press. AP will “call” the winner in a state when it determines that the trailing candidate has no path to victory. This can happen before 100% of votes in a state have been counted.

    Estimates for the total vote in each state are also provided by AP. The numbers update throughout election night and in the following days, as more data on voter turnout becomes available.

    A handful of races are run with a ranked choice voting system, whereby voters can rank candidates in their order of preference. If no candidate gets over 50% of the vote, then the candidate with the fewest number of votes is eliminated and their supporters’ votes will be counted for their next choice. The Guardian has marked these elections where applicable above, and show the results of the final result with redistributed votes.

    Illustrations by Sam Kerr. Cartograms by Pablo Gutiérrez.

  • US election results and map 2024: Donald Trump and Kamala Harris vie to be president | US elections 2024

    Electoral college votes

    illustration of Kamala Harris

    illustration of Donald Trump

    Electoral college votes

    57,032,553 votes (48.0%)

    First results expected after 18.00 EST (15.00 PST or 23.00 GMT)

    Long a Republican stronghold, Georgia has become more of a battleground due to its growing black electorate. In 2020, Biden won by less than 12,000 votes. In 2022, Republican Brian Kemp won by 7.5 percentage points.

    2,602,408 50.8
    2,483,919 48.5
    20,298 0.4
    17,822 0.3

    Michigan was one of the states that Biden managed to flip from Trump in 2020, after voting for Democrats for president consistently between 1992 and 2012. A rust belt state, Democrats have full control of its state government.

    1,354,970 51.6
    1,225,913 46.7
    14,504 0.6
    12,771 0.5
    11,428 0.4
    3,149 0.1
    2,611 0.1
    1,137 0.0

    Wisconsin sided with the Democratic candidate in all presidential elections from 1988 through 2012. In 2016, Trump managed to flip the state but it was reclaimed by Biden in 2020 – albeit by a small margin.

    1,307,838 51.2
    1,208,696 47.3
    13,455 0.5
    9,396 0.4
    8,124 0.3
    3,112 0.1
    1,859 0.1
    1,460 0.1

    Biden flipped his birth state back from Donald Trump in 2020. Despite voting for Democrats in every presidential election bar 2016 since 1992, the large rust belt state is now seen as a crucial swing state.

    3,013,110 51.4
    2,793,104 47.6
    28,293 0.5
    27,679 0.5
    0 0.0
    0 0.0
    0 0.0
    0 0.0
    0 0.0
    0 0.0
    0 0.0
    0 0.0
    1,390,072 65.5
    712,271 33.6
    11,520 0.5
    4,613 0.2
    4,171 0.2
    707,002 63.7
    378,380 34.1
    12,443 1.1
    5,365 0.5
    4,015 0.4
    2,044 0.2
    1,088 0.1
    910,139 49.8
    903,114 49.4
    7,543 0.4
    7,183 0.4

    How does the US election work?

    The winner of the election is determined through a system called the electoral college.

    What is the electoral college and how does it work?

    Each of the 50 states, plus Washington DC, is given a number of electoral college votes, adding up to a total of 538 votes. More populous states get more electoral college votes than smaller ones.

    A candidate needs to win 270 electoral college votes (50% plus one) to win the election.

    In every state except two – Maine and Nebraska – the candidate that gets the most votes wins all of the state’s electoral college votes.

    Electoral college votes correspond to electors from each state. These electors vote directly for the president, based on the results in the general election in their state. In early January, following the presidential election, Congress convenes in a joint session to count and certify the electoral votes.

    How do people vote in the US election?

    Elections in the US are administered by each state. Whether by mail-in ballots or voting in person on election day, people effectively vote in 51 mini-elections in the presidential election.

    Due to the electoral college rules, a candidate can win the election without getting the most votes at the national level. This happened in 2016, when Trump won a majority of electoral college votes although more people voted for Hillary Clinton across the US.

    A handful of races are run with a ranked choice voting system, whereby voters can rank candidates in their order of preference. If no candidate gets more than 50% of the vote, then the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their supporters’ votes will be counted for their next choice. The Guardian has marked these elections where applicable above, and shows the results of the final result with redistributed votes.

    How are the votes counted?

    Vote verification and counting involves many processes to ensure oversight and security, and it runs before, during and after election day.

    As soon as the polls close, local precincts count the ballots cast in person on election day, alongside any absentee or mail-in ballots that have been verified. Processes vary by state, but typically this involves verifying mail-in voter signatures and ensuring ballots are properly filled out. Provisional ballots, used when there are questions about a voter’s eligibility, are set aside for later verification.

    Verified ballots are then counted, usually digitally but in some cases manually. The counts are then transmitted to county election offices for aggregation and verification.

    This process involves thousands of local election officials who are either appointed or elected, depending on the state. Partisan and nonpartisan observers can monitor vote counting.

    State election authorities then compile the county-level results and, after another round of verification, certify the final results.

    Results are communicated through media – the Guardian receives results data from the Associated Press.

    Official results can take days or weeks to be fully finalised. This is often because of the verification process of absentee, mail-in and provisional ballots. In some states, mail-in ballots can be received and counted several days after election day. High voter turnouts and potential recounts in close races can also slow down results publication.

    How are the results reported?

    The election results on this page are reported by the Associated Press (AP). AP “call” the winner in a state when they determine that the trailing candidate has no path to victory. This can happen before 100% of votes in a state have been counted.

    Estimates for the total vote in each state are also provided by AP. The numbers update throughout election night and in the following days, as more data on voter turnout becomes available.

    Illustrations by Sam Kerr. Cartograms by Pablo Gutiérrez.

  • AP PHOTOS: The world watches as US election results trickle in

    AP PHOTOS: The world watches as US election results trickle in

    From coast to coast, Americans watched the results of a pivotal election Tuesday for the next president of the United States with a mix of tension, elation, relief and resignation as the votes were counted.

    The race pitted Vice President Kamala Harris against former President Donald Trump.

    Young and old mingled in crowds in public spaces, such as Times Square in New York City and college campuses, seeking out communities of friends to share the night and the roller coaster of emotions as the votes were tallied.

    Others sought solitude or quieter spaces, such as a darkened beach or the end of a tavern bar, where the glow of hand-held devices or neon lights illuminated the results as they trickled in.

    Some prayed. Some rejoiced.

    And the world watched, too. From Taiwan to Jerusalem to India and beyond, many around the globe waited for the outcome of an election and wondered just how it would affect their lives in the coming days, months and years.

  • Maryland Senate results: Democrat Angela Alsobrooks defeats Larry Hogan | US elections 2024

    Democrats got a boost in their against-the-odds attempt to hold the US Senate on Tuesday when Angela Alsobrooks, the executive of Prince George’s county, defeated the former Republican governor Larry Hogan for an open seat.

    Endorsed and supported by Kamala Harris, Barack Obama and other Democratic luminaries, Alsobrooks is only the fourth Black woman ever elected to the US Senate. Harris was the second, from California in 2016 and following Carol Moseley Braun, who represented Illinois between 1993 and 1999. Lisa Blunt Rochester, who won election in Delaware earlier on Tuesday, pipped Alsobrooks for third.

    Hogan, a popular moderate, sought to attract split-ticket voters by keeping his distance from Donald Trump and other Republican extremists, despite having the former president’s endorsement. That effort took a blow last month, though, when Hogan was reported to have stressed the Trump endorsement during a call with donors.

    Also in October, at a campaign event in Baltimore, Alsobrooks told the Guardian that her priorities in office would include “reproductive freedom, sensible gun legislation that will help us to eradicate the gun violence that we’ve seen in an epidemic across our country … economic opportunity that considers a path forward for the middle class [and] preserving freedoms and democracy. And I think that message resonates with Marylanders.”

    On Tuesday, Marylanders agreed. Alsobrooks’s win boosted Democrats’ admittedly slim hopes of holding the Senate, which they controlled by 51-49 before polls closed.

    Read more of the Guardian’s 2024 US election coverage

  • After months of buildup, news outlets finally have the chance to report on election results

    After months of buildup, news outlets finally have the chance to report on election results

    The final answer may or may not come on Tuesday, but news organizations that have spent months reporting on the presidential campaign between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump finally have the opportunity to report on actual results.

    Broadcast, cable news networks, digital news outlets’ sites and one streaming service — Amazon — all set aside Tuesday night to deliver the news from their own operations.

    Actual results will be a relief to news organizations that had weeks — and an excruciatingly long day of voting — to talk about an election campaign that polls have repeatedly shown to be remarkably tight. The first hint of what voters were thinking came shortly after 5 p.m. Eastern, when networks reported that exit polls showed voters were unhappy with the way the country was going.

    It’s still not clear whether that dissatisfaction will be blamed on Harris, the current vice president, or former President Trump, who was voted out of office in 2020, CNN’s Dana Bash said.

    Trying to draw meaning from anecdotal evidence

    Otherwise, networks were left showing pictures of polling places on Tuesday and trying to extract wisdom from anecdotal evidence.

    “Dixville Notch is a metaphor for the entire race,” CNN’s Alyssa Farah Griffin said, making efforts to draw meaning from the tiny New Hampshire community that reported its 3-3 vote for Harris and Trump in the early morning hours on Tuesday.

    MSNBC assigned reporter Jacob Soboroff to talk to voters waiting in line outside a polling place near Temple University in Philadelphia, where actor Paul Rudd was handing out water bottles. Soboroff was called on by one young voter to take a picture with herself and Rudd.

    On Fox News Channel, Harris surrogate Pete Buttigieg appeared for a contentious interview with “Fox & Friends” host Brian Kilmeade.

    “Is this an interview or a debate?” Buttigieg said at one point. “Can I at least finish the sentence?”

    Former NBC News anchor Brian Williams began a one-night appearance on Amazon to deliver results, and he already had one unexpected guest in the California studio where he was operating. Puck reporter Tara Palmeri was supposed to report from Trump headquarters in West Palm Beach, but was denied credentials to attend by the former president’s team.

    Trump campaign manager Chris LaCivita, in revealing the banishment, described her as a “gossip columnist” in a post on the social media site X. Palmeri told Williams that she had accurately reported some anxiety within the Trump camp about who was voting early.

    Amazon said Palmeri was replaced at Trump’s Florida headquarters by New York Post reporter Lydia Moynihan.

    Neither Axios or Politico would immediately confirm reports that some of their reporters were similarly banned, and the Trump campaign did not immediately return a call for comment.

    New York Times strike affects an election night fixture

    One notable election night media fixture — the Needle on The New York Times’ website — was endangered by a strike by technical workers at the newspaper.

    The newspaper said early Tuesday that it was unclear whether it would be able to include the feature on its website during election night coverage since it relies on computer systems maintained by engineers at the company, including some who went on strike early Monday.

    The Needle, as its name suggests, is a graphic that uses voting results and other calculations to point toward the likelihood of either presidential candidate winning.

    The 2024 election is here. This is what to know:

    News outlets globally count on the AP for accurate U.S. election results. Since 1848, the AP has been calling races up and down the ballot. Support us. Donate to the AP.

    First introduced in 2016, it became nightmare-inducing for supporters of Democrat Hillary Clinton, who the Times determined had an 85% percent chance of winning the election. Readers watched as the Needle moved from forecasting a “likely” Clinton victory at the beginning of election night, to “toss-up” by 10 p.m. Eastern to “leaning Trump” at midnight. Trump won the election.

    The Times said that “we will only publish a live version of the Needle if we are confident” that the computer systems it relies upon for data are stable.

    Some 650 members of the Times’ Tech Guild went on strike early Monday.

    ___

    David Bauder writes about media for the AP. Follow him at http://x.com/dbauder.

  • Election News, Polls and Results

    The 538 probabilistic forecast model relaunched Friday, updated to reflect a Harris vs. Trump general election. 

    “538 is excited to unveil our forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Our forecast starts out with a slight lead for Harris, reflecting her current edge in polls but uncertainty about how the rest of the election could impact the state of the race. With 75 days to go, we think anything from a clear Trump victory to a clear Harris win is possible (while a close win either way is most likely).”

    In the image below, the Toss-up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Light (60%+), Medium (75%+), Dark (95%+).

  • Trump, Harris await presidential results

    Trump, Harris await presidential results

    Harris will have dinner with her family before watch party at alma mater

    Workers start to build out the Harris-Walz campaign election stage and event space at Howard University on November 03, 2024 in Washington, DC. 

    Kent Nishimura | Getty Images

    Harris shared her plans for election day today on The Big K Morning Show with Larry Richert on NewsRadio KDKA. Her campaign headquarters for the night will be at her alma mater Howard University, and before that she plans to have dinner with family members.

    “I have a tradition of having dinner with my family, and so we will do that. I have a lot of my family staying with us,” Harris said. “Then during the day, I’ll be today, all day, talking with folks and reminding them to get out to vote.”

    — Ece Yildirim

    Stocks move higher on Election Day

    The stock market is climbing as traders brace for election results.

    The Dow was up more than 300 points, or about 0.8%. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.9% and 1.1%, respectively.

    Risers among S&P 500 stocks outnumbered declining names by more than 3-to-1, with industrial and energy stocks performing well.

    U.S. equities have an unusually strong election year so far. The S&P 500 is up about 20% year to date and is within striking distance of a record high.

    — Jesse Pound

    Closely watched New York Times ‘needle’ might not move due to engineers’ strike

    The New York Times 2020 Election Needles.

    Source: New York Times

    The New York Times “Needle,” which freaked out Hillary Clinton supporters in 2016, and dismayed Trump supporters in 2020, might not move much even as the votes roll in tonight.

    The Needle, a speedometer-like graphic that represents the statistical likelihood of a presidential candidate winning, needs data from computer systems maintained by Times engineers — who are currently on strike.

    The Times’ Election Analytics team said, “We will only publish a live version of the Needle if we are confident those systems are stable.”

    “If we are not able to stream the Needle’s results live, our journalists plan to run its statistical model periodically, examine its output and publish updates in our live blog about what they see,” the team wrote.

    — Dan Mangan

    Rudy Giuliani ordered to court to explain missing property owed to election workers

    Former mayor of New York City and former Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani reacts at the Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum during a rally held by Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump, in Uniondale, New York, on Sept. 18, 2024.

    Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters

    Former Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani was ordered to appear in federal court in New York City at noon to explain why personal property of his that two Georgia election workers have been authorized to sell off to satisfy a fraction of a $146 million defamation judgment against him is missing.

    The order came on Monday, shortly after a lawyer for the workers, Ruby Freeman and Wandrea’ Moss, notified Manhattan U.S. District Court Judge Lewis Liman in a jaw-dropping letter that Giuliani and his lawyer “have refused or been unable to answer basic questions about the location of most of the property.”

    Giuliani “apparently emptied the contents of” his New York apartment a month ago, without telling the women’s lawyer.

    A federal judge in Washington, D.C., last year found the former New York mayor and top federal prosecutor liable for defaming the women by falsely accusing them of committing ballot fraud during the 2020 presidential election, when he was Trump’s top election lawyer. A jury later said he should pay them $146 million in damages.

    Dan Mangan

    National Guard activated for election help across the country

    Twenty states, including the District of Columbia, have put National Guard troops on state active-duty or prepare-to-activate orders to provide election support, NBC News reported.

    The number, which is likely to grow, translates to about 350 troops across both categories.

    The troops are mostly available to provide cyber, law enforcement or general support for the election.

    Kevin Breuninger, Courtney Kube, NBC News, and Mosheh Gains, NBC News

    How social media platforms are combating disinformation today

    Dilara Irem Sancar | Anadolu | Getty Images

    Trump Media & Technology shares jump on Election Day

    The Truth social network logo is seen in this photo illustration on 04 December, 2023 in Warsaw, Poland.

    Jaap Arriens | Nurphoto | Getty Images

    Trump Media & Technology shares popped more than 12% as Americans headed to the polls Tuesday.

    It’s the latest swing for shares of the company, which operates Truth Social and is majority-owned by Republican nominee Trump. Some investors have seen the stock as a way to bet on the former president’s reelection odds.

    Shares of the stock rallied more than 110% in October alone, marking its first positive month since March. The stock has gained another 10% since the start of November.

    Stock Chart IconStock chart icon

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    Trump Media & technology

    Voting machines are malfunctioning in Pennsylvania’s Cambria County

    A man votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election on Election Day, at the Mattress Factory in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, U.S., November 5, 2024. 

    Quinn Glabicki | Reuters

    Vote-scanning machines are down in Cambria County, Pennsylvania, causing some complications for morning voters in a deep red county of the major swing state.

    The Pennsylvania State Department said it is “in contact” with the county officials and is working to clear up the technical difficulties.

    In the meantime, voters at the affected precincts are casting paper ballots, which are being stored in a secure location to be scanned once the machines are up and running.

    In 2020, Trump won Cambria County by roughly 37 points against Joe Biden.

    A couple of other instances of technical difficulties have been reported in other states, which have caused some voting delays, but the issues do not appear to be connected.

    Rebecca Picciotto

    Trump can still vote in Florida despite his New York hush money conviction. Here’s why

    Former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to the media after voting at a polling station setup in the Morton and Barbara Mandel Recreation Center on March 19, 2024, in Palm Beach, Florida.

    Joe Raedle | Getty Images

    Florida has led the country in disenfranchising citizens with felony records. But Donald Trump, the only former president ever to be found guilty of criminal charges, should have no trouble casting his ballot in the Sunshine State.

    That’s because Trump was convicted in New York.

    Under Florida law, an out-of-state felony conviction makes a person ineligible to vote only if they would also be ineligible in the state where they were found guilty.

    Trump on May 30 was convicted by a New York jury of 34 felony counts of falsifying business records related to a hush money scheme to pay porn star Stormy Daniels for her silence ahead of the 2016 election.

    A New York law passed in 2021 allows for convicted felons to register to vote if they are not incarcerated. It also restores the voting rights of convicted felons upon their release from incarceration.

    On Sept. 6, Manhattan Supreme Court Judge Juan Merchan ruled that Trump will not be sentenced in the hush money case until Nov. 26 — three weeks after Election Day.

    Trump traveled back to Florida on Tuesday, and he is expected to cast his ballot near his Mar-a-Lago home in West Palm Beach.

    Kevin Breuninger

    Former Obama campaign manager Messina: “This is the closest race I have seen since 2000”

    This is the closest race I've seen since 2000, says former Obama campaign manager Jim Messina

    Trump 2024 senior economic advisor Stephen Moore and Former Obama campaign manager Jim Messina joined CNBC’s “Squawk Box” to share their expectations for the presidential race and discuss the candidates’ plans for the economy and businesses.

    “This is the closest race I have seen since 2000, and I think anyone who tells you they know what’s going to happen tonight is drunk,” Messina said.

    Moore said he is “not a big fan” of Trump’s highly contested universal tariffs plan and claimed that while he thinks he would implement “very stiff tariffs on China,” these proposals will be more akin to “negotiating tactics” with other countries.

    — Ece Yildirim

    No major incidents affecting U.S. election infrastructure so far, CISA says

    Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency logo.

    Source: Wikipedia

    As of 9:30 a.m. ET on Tuesday, federal cybersecurity officials have not identified any significant national-level incidents affecting the security of U.S. election infrastructure, Cait Conley, senior advisor to the director at the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, told reporters in a briefing.

    “We are tracking instances of extreme weather and other temporary infrastructure disruptions in certain areas of the country, but these are largely expected, routine and planned-for events,” Conley said.

    Ashley Capoot

    Financial advisors urge investors to take a long-term view

    Voters line up outside of a polling station at Donegan Elementary School as the polls open on Election Day in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, on Nov. 5, 2024.

    Samuel Corum | AFP | Getty Images

    Many investors worry how the markets may react based on who is elected president on Election Day, but experts at top financial advisory firms tell clients not to make any sudden moves in reaction to uncertainty.

    In the long term, markets generally tend to do well, no matter who occupies the Oval Office.

    Investment research company Morningstar recently evaluated how the S&P 500 has performed starting Nov. 1 in the past 25 U.S. presidential elections. Forward one-year returns were positive for 10 of the 13 elections where Democrats won, and in nine of the 12 contests where Republicans won, the firm found.

    Forward four-year returns were positive for Democrats in 11 out of 12 terms, compared to Republicans who had positive returns in nine out of 12.

    “Presidential elections historically have not been nearly as important to markets as most people think,” said Mark Motley, portfolio manager at Foster & Motley in Cincinnati, which is No. 34 on the 2024 CNBC Financial Advisor 100 list.

    — Lorie Konish

    Vance votes at Ohio polling site

    Republican vice presidential nominee Sen. JD Vance arrives to vote at the St. Anthony of Padua Maronite Catholic Church on Election Day in Cincinnati, Ohio, on Nov. 5, 2024.

    Carolyn Kaster | AP

    Trump’s running mate, Ohio Sen. JD Vance, just voted at a polling site in Cincinnati.

    Accompanied by his wife, Usha, and his children, Vance cast his ballot at St. Anthony of Padua Maronite Catholic Church.

    “I of course voted for Donald Trump and myself. So did my wife,” Vance told reporters after voting.

    “I feel good. You never know until you know, but I feel good about this race.”

    Kevin Breuninger

    Scaramucci, Ramaswamy spar over Harris’ and Trump’s economic plans

    Anthony Scaramucci & Vivek Ramaswamy on the 2024 election

    “The stock market’s at an all-time high. We have great economic growth. The unemployment numbers are around 4%, and the economy’s doing quite well after Covid,” SkyBridge Capital’s Anthony Scaramucci said, making the case for Harris.

    The former Trump White House official joined Strive Asset Management’s Vivek Ramaswamy on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” to debate Harris’ and Trump’s economic records.

    — Josephine Rozzelle

    Biden declares victory in end of Boeing’s 53-day strike

    Members of the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers District 751, embrace at a union hall after learning that union members voted to approve a new contract proposal from Boeing in Seattle, Washington, U.S. November 4, 2024.

    David Ryder | Reuters

    President Joe Biden declared victory in Boeing machinists’ approval of a new labor deal, ending a 53-day strike that halted most aircraft production at a top U.S. exporter and military contractor and dented the last jobs report before Tuesday’s presidential election.

    The deal “was achieved with the support of my economic team, including Acting Labor Secretary Julie Su and National Economic Advisor Lael Brainard,” Biden said in a statement.

    “Over the last four years, we’ve shown collective bargaining works. Good contracts benefit workers, businesses, and consumers—and are key to growing the American economy from the middle out and the bottom up,” he said.

    The new Boeing contract for its 33,000 unionized machinists, mostly on the U.S. West Coast, includes 38% raises over four years, a $12,000 and a deal with the company that it builds its next aircraft in one of the unionized factories in the Seattle area. Workers go back on the job as early as Wednesday, though the company isn’t out of the woods with several delayed aircraft programs including the late-arriving Boeing 747s that will serve as the next Air Force One airplanes.

    Leslie Josephs

    Trump will host an exclusive Mar-a-Lago dinner for top donors tonight

    Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump speaks during a press conference at his Mar-a-Lago estate in Palm Beach, Florida on Aug. 8, 2024.

    Joe Raedle | Getty Images

    Trump will host an exclusive election night dinner at Mar-a-Lago for club members and his top political donors, a source who received an invitation confirmed to NBC News.

    The dinner is scheduled to take place after the Republican presidential nominee casts his vote in person. He then plans to call in to several tele-rallies, a person familiar with the planning told NBC News.

    In the late afternoon, Trump will huddle with an inner circle of advisors, friends and donors, another source told NBC News.

    When the race results start becoming more clear, the former president then plans to leave the resort and go to the Trump-Vance watch party at the Palm Beach Convention Center in West Palm Beach, Florida.

    Rebecca Picciotto

    Bernie Marcus, Home Depot co-founder and Trump megadonor, dies at 95

    Home Depot co-founder Bernie Marcus appears on “Cavuto: Coast to Coast,” with anchor Neil Cavuto, on the Fox Business Network, in New York, Monday, June 24, 2019.

    Richard Drew | AP

    Bernie Marcus, the billionaire co-founder of Home Depot and a major supporter of Trump’s political career, has died at 95, the company confirmed.

    Marcus led the Home Depot for more than two decades, both as its first CEO and as chairman of the board. His net worth at the end of his life topped $11 billion, according to Forbes. The company now boasts more than 2,300 locations and employs more than 500,000 people.

    Marcus was an outspoken supporter of Trump and other Republicans. His philanthropic vehicle, the Marcus Foundation, donated $10 million to the pro-Trump Preserve America PAC in the 2020 election. His family foundation gave $7 million to a pair of pro-Trump super PACs in the 2016 election.

    In the 2024 cycle, Marcus said he preferred Trump’s Republican primary rival, Nikki Haley.

    Kevin Breuninger

    Pollster Frank Luntz: Nevada, Pennsylvania will still be too close to call tomorrow

    A record-setting turnout may be good news for Trump, says pollster Frank Luntz

    Pollster and political strategist Frank Luntz on CNBC’s Squawk Box this morning said he thinks Pennsylvania and Nevada will be too close to call on Wednesday morning, and that the general public will not know the results of presidential election until “either late Friday or early Saturday.”

    “If Trump loses either [Georgia and North Carolina], it will be a Harris victory. If Trump wins either Pennsylvania or Michigan, it will be a Trump victory,” Luntz said.

    Other metrics that Luntz is “watching keenly” are the Latino vote in Nevada and Arizona, whether conservative older woman will vote slightly more for Harris than they normally do for a Democratic candidate, younger women who are “more pro-Harris than any Democratic group,” and whether or not today’s polls will see a record-setting turnout, which would be “good news for Trump.”

    — Ece Yildirim

    Former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy explains how Trump could win tonight

    Former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy on 2024 election: I would give an advantage to Donald Trump

    Former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy joined CNBC’s “Squawk Box” this morning to talk about his expectations for tonight. McCarthy claimed polls are underestimating support for Trump in Wisconsin, and laid out how he thinks Harris is faring in Pennsylvania.

    — Ece Yildirim

    First results are in from a small New Hampshire town — it’s a Harris-Trump tie

    A voter walks with his dog after casting his ballot in the First-in-the-Nation midnight vote for the New Hampshire primary elections in the Living Room of the Tillotson House at the Balsams Grand Resort in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire, on January 23, 2024. 

    Sebastien St-Jean | AFP | Getty Images

    Harris and Trump tied the midnight race in Dixville Notch, an unincorporated community in a small New Hampshire township where there are six registered voters this year.

    Three of those voters went for Harris while the other three went for Trump. The polls opened at midnight and closed at 12:07 a.m. E.T.

    Since 1960, Dixville Notch voters have followed the tradition of submitting their votes in person in a wooden box just after midnight, before the results are announced minutes later.

    Though the Dixville Notch result is not a predictive measure, the tradition has kicked off Election Day events for decades of night owls.

    This year, the Harris-Trump tie happens to mirror the dead-heat race that polls have been reporting over the past several months. In 2020, President Biden received all five of the Dixville Notch votes cast before winning the overall race.

    Rebecca Picciotto

    Trump Media shares are popping in pre-market trading

    Republican presidential nominee former U.S. President Donald Trump gestures during an 11th Hour Faith Leaders Meeting in Concord, North Carolina, U.S., October 21, 2024.

    Brian Snyder | Reuters

    Shares of Trump Media & Technology Group are trading higher this morning as investors make some of their final bets on the former president’s company in his final hours in the race against Harris.

    The DJT stock was up roughly 9% at one point before the market opened.

    The meme stock tends to fluctuate, but over the course of the election, it has often been viewed as a proxy gauge for Trump’s chances at a second presidential term.

    Wall Street analysts listed it as a stock to watch going into Election Day.

    Read the full story here

    Fred Imbert and Rebecca Picciotto

    What’s Trump doing on Election Day?

    Republican presidential nominee, former President Donald Trump holds up a fist at a campaign rally at the Santander Arena on November 04, 2024 in Reading, Pennsylvania. 

    Chip Somodevilla | Getty Images

    Trump closed out his campaign on Monday with four rallies in three swing states: Two in Pennsylvania, plus one each in North Carolina and Michigan.

    On Election Day, the only officially announced event is the Trump-Vance watch party at the Palm Beach Convention Center in West Palm Beach, Florida.

    Kevin Breuninger

    More than 77 million have cast early votes

    Duke University students wait in line with residents of Durham County to cast their ballots at a polling site on campus during the penultimate day of early voting in the state, in Durham, North Carolina, U.S. November 1, 2024. 

    Jonathan Drake | Reuters

    More than 77 million Americans have already cast their ballots by mail or in person, according to NBC News’ tally of the early vote.

    That’s far less than in 2020, when more than 100 million Americans voted early. But those results came in the middle of the deadly Covid-19 pandemic, when many Americans avoided public gatherings and states had greatly expanded absentee and early voting rules.

    Trump criticized early voting in 2020 — a stance that may have helped President Joe Biden clinch several key swing states.

    While Trump has at times waxed nostalgic about single-day voting in the 2024 cycle, both his campaign and Harris’ have mostly encouraged their supporters to vote as soon as they can.

    NBC’s data, provided by TargetSmart, show Democrats slightly leading Republicans in the early vote tally, 41% to 39%.

    Among the seven key battleground states, more registered Democrats appear to have voted early in three — Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — while registered Republicans lead in Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina and Georgia.

    Voters fill out their ballots for the presidential election during early voting ahead of the polls closing November 5 at the Detroit Elections Office in Detroit, Michigan, U.S. October 28, 2024. 

    Rebecca Cook | Reuters

    What it all means for the final result is far from clear.

    While early-vote figures are often viewed as a signal about certain voters’ enthusiasm or expected turnout, it’s hard to predict how many more voters will show up on Tuesday. It is also difficult to know ahead of time whether a party’s early vote share is “cannibalizing” its Election Day turnout.

    An NBC analysis found that among early voters in 2024 who did not vote in 2020, Democrats outpace Republicans in Pennsylvania, and female Democrats are the biggest group of new voters in the state.

    In Arizona, however, there were more Republican new voters than Democratic ones, and male Republicans led the way.

    Kevin Breuninger

    What’s Kamala Harris doing on Election Day?

    Democratic presidential nominee U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris smiles during her campaign rally, in Allentown, Pennsylvania, U.S., November 4, 2024. 

    Eloisa Lopez | Reuters

    After storming Pennsylvania on Monday, Harris’ Election Day schedule is relatively sparse — at least for now.

    The only item on her agenda is an election night watch party at Howard University, her alma mater in Washington, D.C.

    The campaign will hold an event at “the Yard,” the main quadrangle on campus.

    Walz and his wife, Gwen Walz, are also set to participate in a political event in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, NBC News reported.

    Kevin Breuninger

  • US election results 2024 live: Donald Trump and Kamala Harris vie to be president | US elections 2024

    Electoral college votes

    illustration of Kamala Harris

    illustration of Donald Trump

    Electoral college votes

    First results expected after 18.00 EST (15.00 PDT or 23.00 GMT)

    How does the US election work?

    The winner of the election is determined through a system called the electoral college.

    What is the electoral college and how does it work?

    Each of the 50 states, plus Washington DC, is given a number of electoral college votes, adding up to a total of 538 votes. More populous states get more electoral college votes than smaller ones.

    A candidate needs to win 270 electoral college votes (50% plus one) to win the election.

    In every state except two – Maine and Nebraska – the candidate that gets the most votes wins all of the state’s electoral college votes.

    Electoral college votes correspond to electors from each state. These electors vote directly for the president, based on the results in the general election in their state. In early January, following the presidential election, Congress convenes in a joint session to count and certify the electoral votes.

    How do people vote in the US election?

    Elections in the US are administered by each state. Whether by mail-in ballots or voting in person on election day, people effectively vote in 51 mini-elections in the presidential election.

    Due to the electoral college rules, a candidate can win the election without getting the most votes at the national level. This happened in 2016, when Trump won a majority of electoral college votes although more people voted for Hillary Clinton across the US.

    A handful of races are run with a ranked choice voting system, whereby voters can rank candidates in their order of preference. If no candidate gets more than 50% of the vote, then the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and their supporters’ votes will be counted for their next choice. The Guardian has marked these elections where applicable above, and shows the results of the final result with redistributed votes.

    How are the votes counted?

    Vote verification and counting involves many processes to ensure oversight and security, and it runs before, during and after election day.

    As soon as the polls close, local precincts count the ballots cast in person on election day, alongside any absentee or mail-in ballots that have been verified. Processes vary by state, but typically this involves verifying mail-in voter signatures and ensuring ballots are properly filled out. Provisional ballots, used when there are questions about a voter’s eligibility, are set aside for later verification.

    Verified ballots are then counted, usually digitally but in some cases manually. The counts are then transmitted to county election offices for aggregation and verification.

    This process involves thousands of local election officials who are either appointed or elected, depending on the state. Partisan and nonpartisan observers can monitor vote counting.

    State election authorities then compile the county-level results and, after another round of verification, certify the final results.

    Results are communicated through media – the Guardian receives results data from the Associated Press.

    Official results can take days or weeks to be fully finalised. This is often because of the verification process of absentee, mail-in and provisional ballots. In some states, mail-in ballots can be received and counted several days after election day. High voter turnouts and potential recounts in close races can also slow down results publication.

    How are the results reported?

    The election results on this page are reported by the Associated Press (AP). AP “call” the winner in a state when they determine that the trailing candidate has no path to victory. This can happen before 100% of votes in a state have been counted.

    Estimates for the total vote in each state are also provided by AP. The numbers update throughout election night and in the following days, as more data on voter turnout becomes available.

    Illustrations by Sam Kerr. Cartograms by Pablo Gutiérrez.